NFL Head Coach
Best: 2022 IND (+0.9) · Worst: 2023 CAR (-1.1)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDafter Chuck Pagano · before Jeff Saturday | 2018–2022 (5) | 40–33–1 | .541 | — | — |
| CARafter Chris Tabor · before Dave Canales | 2023 (1) | 1–10 | .091 | — | — |
| 0–1 |
| Wild Card |
| 2021 | IND | 9 | 8 | — | .529 | — |
| 2022 | IND | 3 | 5 | 1 | .333 | — |
| 2023 | CAR | 1 | 10 | — | .091 | — |