The ritual
The Vault
Every place StatVault records what you think, and every standing it feeds. The encyclopedia tells you what happened; this is where you go on record about what happens next.
Where your judgement is recorded
Beat the Vault
WeeklyYour calls against Knox's own confidence, Brier-scored so a lucky week and a well-judged one do not look alike.
Vantage Predict
Daily + weeklyDaily markets and weekly picks, with a calibration profile and share cards.
Guess the Player
DailyOne era-adjusted stat line, six guesses, progressive clues. Pure recall, no confidence.
HOF Ballot
OpenYour Canton verdicts, set against the data-calibrated HOF Monitor probability.
Build an All-Time Team
OpenYour roster from the dual-signal pools — a judgement about value, not a quiz.
Was Knox right?
Per receiptA binary verdict on a resolved Knox answer, votable only after seven days.
The standings, and what each one means
Three boards, kept separate on purpose — each answers a question the others cannot. Anything that would rank the same thing twice belongs here as a tab, not as another page.
Season points, divisions and promotion history.
Why it stands alone: Rewards sustained weekly participation — showing up is part of the score.
Aggregate market performance across daily and weekly picks, inside the Predict tool.
Why it stands alone: Covers a different question set and a different cadence to the Vault week.
Lowest Brier wins — opt-in only.
Why it stands alone: Ranks honesty, not accuracy: being right 60% of the time while saying 60% beats being right 80% while saying 100%.
How scoring works
Where you state a confidence, calls are scored with a Brier score: the squared distance between how sure you said you were and what actually happened. Lower is better, 0.25 is what you get by always saying 50%, and it rewards knowing your own uncertainty rather than sounding certain.
A call you made without stating a confidence still counts toward accuracy and your streak, but never toward calibration — we will not assume a number you did not give. An unresolved pick does not break a streak either: you have not been wrong, the week simply has not finished.
Calibration standings are opt-in and published in aggregate only. StatVault publishes no user-level telemetry.