NFL Head Coach
Best: 2011 DEN (+2.9) · Worst: 2016 CHI (-3.1)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARafter George Seifert · before Ron Rivera | 2002–2010 (9) | 73–71 | .507 | — | — |
| DENafter Eric Studesville · before Gary Kubiak | 2011–2014 (4) | 46–18 | .719 | — | — |
| CHIafter Marc Trestman · before Matt Nagy | 2015–2017 (3) | 14–34 | .292 | — | — |
| CAR |
| 11 |
| 5 |
| .688 |
| 2–1 |
| Conf. Final |
| 2006 | CAR | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 2007 | CAR | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 2008 | CAR | 12 | 4 | .750 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 2009 | CAR | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 2010 | CAR | 2 | 14 | .125 | — |
| 2011 | DEN | 8 | 8 | .500 | 1–1 | Div. Round |
| 2012 | DEN | 13 | 3 | .813 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 2013 | DEN | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2–1 | Lost Super Bowl |
| 2014 | DEN | 12 | 4 | .750 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 2015 | CHI | 6 | 10 | .375 | — |
| 2016 | CHI | 3 | 13 | .188 | — |
| 2017 | CHI | 5 | 11 | .313 | — |