-1.1-7.6 raw over 4 seasons · -0.4 a season#245 of 368
Best: 2020 TOR (+3.4) · Worst: 2021 TOR (-6.4)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.77), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
Built from: Lahman Baseball Database (1871–2019); MLB StatsAPI (schedule, standings, coaches by date, postseason) (2020–2026); Wikipedia — List of <club> managers (acting managers, verification) (2020–2026); Wikipedia — Major League Baseball Manager of the Year Award (2017–).