+10.8+28.2 raw over 12 seasons · +1.0 a season#27 of 368
Best: 2020 TB (+10.3) · Worst: 2016 TB (-8.0)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.77), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
Built from: Lahman Baseball Database (1871–2019); MLB StatsAPI (schedule, standings, coaches by date, postseason) (2020–2026); Wikipedia — List of <club> managers (acting managers, verification) (2020–2026); Wikipedia — Major League Baseball Manager of the Year Award (2017–).