NFL Head Coach
Best: 1982 NE (+2.9) · Worst: 1989 IND (-2.2)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEafter Ron Erhardt · before Raymond Berry | 1982–1984 (3) | 18–15 | .545 | — | — |
| INDafter Rod Dowhower · before Rick Venturi | 1986–1991 (6) | 36–35 | .507 | — | — |
| Season | Team | W | L | Pct | Playoffs | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1982 | NE | 5 | 4 | .556 | 0–1 | Playoffs |
| 1983 | NE | 8 | 8 | .500 | — | |
| 1984 | NE | 5 | 3 | .625 | — | |
| 1986 | IND | 3 |
| 0 |
| 1.000 |
| — |
| 1987 | IND | 9 | 6 | .600 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 1988 | IND | 9 | 7 | .563 | — |
| 1989 | IND | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 1990 | IND | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 1991 | IND | 0 | 5 | .000 | — |