NFL Head Coach
Best: 2016 TB (+1.9) · Worst: 2018 TB (-2.6)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBafter Lovie Smith · before Bruce Arians | 2016–2018 (3) | 19–29 | .396 | — | — |