NFL Head Coach
Best: 2012 TB (-1.5) · Worst: 2013 TB (-1.5)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBafter Raheem Morris · before Lovie Smith | 2012–2013 (2) | 11–21 | .344 | — | — |