NFL Head Coach
Best: 2010 TB (+1.6) · Worst: 2025 ATL (-1.4)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBafter Jon Gruden · before Greg Schiano | 2009–2011 (3) | 17–31 | .354 | — | — |
| ATLafter Dan Quinn · before Arthur Smith | 2020–2025 (3) | 20–25 | .444 | — | — |
| 2024 |
| ATL |
| 8 |
| 9 |
| .471 |
| 2025 | ATL | 8 | 9 | .471 |