NFL Head Coach
1 Super Bowl
Best: 2005 TB (+2.4) · Worst: 2003 TB (-2.8)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVafter Joe Bugel · before Bill Callahan | 1998–2021 (8) | 60–57 | .513 | — | — |
| TBafter Tony Dungy · before Raheem Morris | 2002–2008 (7) | 57–55 | .509 | — | 1 |
| 10 |
| 6 |
| .625 |
| 1–1 |
| Div. Round |
| 2018 | LV | 4 | 12 | .250 | — |
| 2019 | LV | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 2020 | LV | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 2021 | LV | 3 | 2 | .600 | — |
| 2002 | TB | 12 | 4 | .750 | 3–0 | Super Bowl ✓ |
| 2003 | TB | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 2004 | TB | 5 | 11 | .313 | — |
| 2005 | TB | 11 | 5 | .688 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2006 | TB | 4 | 12 | .250 | — |
| 2007 | TB | 9 | 7 | .563 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2008 | TB | 9 | 7 | .563 | — |