NFL Head Coach
1 Super Bowl
Best: 1997 TB (+3.0) · Worst: 2004 IND (-1.5)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBafter Sam Wyche · before Jon Gruden | 1996–2001 (6) | 54–42 | .563 | — | — |
| INDafter Jim E. Mora · before Jim Caldwell | 2002–2008 (7) | 85–27 | .759 | — | 1 |
| Season | Team | W | L | Pct | Playoffs | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | TB | 6 | 10 | .375 | — | |
| 1997 | TB | 10 | 6 | .625 | 1–1 | Div. Round |
| 1998 | TB | 8 | 8 | .500 | — | |
| 1999 | TB | 11 |
| 5 |
| .688 |
| 1–1 |
| Conf. Final |
| 2000 | TB | 10 | 6 | .625 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2001 | TB | 9 | 7 | .563 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2002 | IND | 10 | 6 | .625 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2003 | IND | 12 | 4 | .750 | 2–1 | Conf. Final |
| 2004 | IND | 12 | 4 | .750 | 1–1 | Div. Round |
| 2005 | IND | 14 | 2 | .875 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 2006 | IND | 12 | 4 | .750 | 4–0 | Super Bowl ✓ |
| 2007 | IND | 13 | 3 | .813 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 2008 | IND | 12 | 4 | .750 | 0–1 | Wild Card |