NFL Head Coach
Best: 2009 IND (+2.6) · Worst: 2011 IND (-1.5)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDafter Tony Dungy · before Chuck Pagano | 2009–2011 (3) | 26–22 | .542 | — | — |
| DETafter Jim Schwartz · before Matt Patricia | 2014–2017 (4) | 36–28 | .563 | — | — |
| DET |
| 11 |
| 5 |
| .688 |
| 0–1 |
| Wild Card |
| 2015 | DET | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 2016 | DET | 9 | 7 | .563 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2017 | DET | 9 | 7 | .563 | — |