NFL Head Coach
Best: 1988 BUF (+3.8) · Worst: 1989 BUF (-1.6)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCafter Tom Bettis · before John Mackovic | 1978–1982 (5) | 31–42 | .425 | — | — |
| BUFafter Hank Bullough · before Wade Phillips | 1986–1997 (12) | 112–70 | .615 | — | — |
| Season | Team | W | L | Pct | Playoffs | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1978 | KC | 4 | 12 | .250 | — | |
| 1979 | KC | 7 | 9 | .438 | — | |
| 1980 | KC | 8 | 8 | .500 | — | |
| 1981 | KC | 9 | 7 | .563 |
| — |
| 1982 | KC | 3 | 6 | .333 | — |
| 1986 | BUF | 2 | 5 | .286 | — |
| 1987 | BUF | 7 | 8 | .467 | — |
| 1988 | BUF | 12 | 4 | .750 | 1–1 | Conf. Final |
| 1989 | BUF | 9 | 7 | .563 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 1990 | BUF | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2–1 | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1991 | BUF | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2–1 | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1992 | BUF | 11 | 5 | .688 | 3–1 | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1993 | BUF | 12 | 4 | .750 | 2–1 | Lost Super Bowl |
| 1994 | BUF | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 1995 | BUF | 10 | 6 | .625 | 1–1 | Div. Round |
| 1996 | BUF | 10 | 6 | .625 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 1997 | BUF | 6 | 10 | .375 | — |