NFL Head Coach
Best: 1999 BUF (+2.1) · Worst: 2010 DAL (-2.8)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOafter Bum Phillips · before Jim E. Mora | 1985 (1) | 1–3 | .250 | — | — |
| DENafter Dan Reeves · before Mike Shanahan | 1993–1994 (2) | 16–16 | .500 | — | — |
| BUFafter Marv Levy · before Gregg Williams | 1998–2000 (3) | 29–19 | .604 | — | — |
| ATLafter Dan Reeves · before Jim L. Mora |
| Season | Team | W | L | Pct | Playoffs | Postseason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1985 | NO | 1 | 3 | .250 | — | |
| 1993 | DEN | 9 | 7 | .563 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 1994 | DEN | 7 | 9 | .438 | — | |
| 1998 | BUF | 10 |
| 2003 (1) |
| 2–1 |
| .667 |
| — |
| — |
| DALafter Bill Parcells · before Jason Garrett | 2007–2010 (4) | 34–22 | .607 | — | — |
| HOUafter Gary Kubiak · before Bill O'Brien | 2013 (1) | 0–3 | .000 | — | — |
| 6 |
| .625 |
| 0–1 |
| Wild Card |
| 1999 | BUF | 11 | 5 | .688 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2000 | BUF | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 2003 | ATL | 2 | 1 | .667 | — |
| 2007 | DAL | 13 | 3 | .813 | 0–1 | Div. Round |
| 2008 | DAL | 9 | 7 | .563 | — |
| 2009 | DAL | 11 | 5 | .688 | 1–1 | Div. Round |
| 2010 | DAL | 1 | 7 | .125 | — |
| 2013 | HOU | 0 | 3 | .000 | — |