NFL Head Coach
Best: 2004 ATL (+3.4) · Worst: 2009 SEA (-0.6)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATLafter Wade Phillips · before Bobby Petrino | 2004–2006 (3) | 26–22 | .542 | — | — |
| SEAafter Mike Holmgren · before Pete Carroll | 2009 (1) | 5–11 | .313 | — | — |
| SEA |
| 5 |
| 11 |
| .313 |
| — |