+2.7+4.4 raw over 14 seasons · +0.2 a season#28 of 171
Best: 1986 CHI (+4.2) · Worst: 1989 CHI (-3.5)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.