-4.5-6.7 raw over 18 seasons · -0.3 a season#163 of 171
Best: 2025 DEN (+2.6) · Worst: 2008 NO (-3.7)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.