Draft Intelligence
Draft Pick Trade Value
The classic draft-value chart, rebuilt from what picks actually became. Every overall pick is scored 0–100 by the expected career value of the players taken there. Add picks to each side to grade any trade.
Team A receives
0.0Team B receives
0.0Pick value chart
| Overall Pick | Value Points | Expected KV-H |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | 100.0 | 61.8 |
| #3 | 100.0 | 61.8 |
| #5 | 100.0 | 61.8 |
| #8 | 97.8 | 60.4 |
| #10 | 97.8 | 60.4 |
| #16 | 93.0 | 57.5 |
| #20 | 91.5 | 56.5 |
| #32 | 88.9 | 54.9 |
| #48 | 79.6 | 49.2 |
| #64 | 75.9 | 46.9 |
| #96 | 62.6 | 38.7 |
| #128 | 54.2 | 33.5 |
| #160 | 51.7 | 31.9 |
| #192 | 41.9 | 25.9 |
| #224 | 36.9 | 22.8 |
| #256 | 24.3 | 15.0 |
How it’s built
EV per overall pick = mean career KV-H over coverable-position picks (busts = 0), weighted-isotonic smoothed (monotone non-increasing), normalized so the #1 pick = 100 points.
Scope: skill + defensive picks (KV-H-coverable). OL/specialists excluded (no production stat). A coverable draftee with no KV-H career counts as 0 — this is true expected value, not a survivor average.
3,981 eligible picks · draft classes 2000–2021 (≥4 mature seasons). Built Jul 14, 2026. Unlike a fixed historical chart, this one updates as careers play out.
See also Draft Analytics and Draft Steals & Busts.