NFL Head Coach
Best: 2016 LV (+2.3) · Worst: 2003 JAX (-2.1)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAXafter Tom Coughlin · before Mel Tucker | 2003–2011 (9) | 68–71 | .489 | — | — |
| LVafter Tony Sparano · before Rich Bisaccia | 2015–2017 (3) | 25–23 | .521 | — | — |
| JAX |
| 8 |
| 8 |
| .500 |
| — |
| 2007 | JAX | 11 | 5 | .688 | 1–1 | Div. Round |
| 2008 | JAX | 5 | 11 | .313 | — |
| 2009 | JAX | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 2010 | JAX | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 2011 | JAX | 3 | 8 | .273 | — |
| 2015 | LV | 7 | 9 | .438 | — |
| 2016 | LV | 12 | 4 | .750 | 0–1 | Wild Card |
| 2017 | LV | 6 | 10 | .375 | — |