NFL Head Coach
Best: 2011 ARI (+1.9) · Worst: 2014 TEN (-2.5)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.
| Team | Seasons | W–L–T | Pct | Playoffs | Titles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIafter Dennis Green · before Bruce Arians | 2007–2012 (6) | 45–51 | .469 | — | — |
| TENafter Mike Munchak · before Mike Mularkey | 2014–2015 (2) | 3–20 | .130 | — | — |
| ARI |
| 5 |
| 11 |
| .313 |
| — |
| 2011 | ARI | 8 | 8 | .500 | — |
| 2012 | ARI | 5 | 11 | .313 | — |
| 2014 | TEN | 2 | 14 | .125 | — |
| 2015 | TEN | 1 | 6 | .143 | — |