+7.7+14.0 raw over 11 seasons · +0.8 a season#11 of 171
Best: 1983 LV (+4.5) · Worst: 1992 SEA (-1.8)
Team wins minus the wins its roster's VAL predicts (roster fit r² 0.59), credited by share of games coached and shrunk toward zero for short careers. Descriptive, not causal: health, schedule and luck sit in the same residual.