Dalton Kincaid is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Kincaid in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Kincaid's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.

TEBUF#86ACT

Dalton Kincaid

1× Pro BowlTop 25% all-time TEsReliable Starter🏆 Clutch · +15% playoffs

Height6'3"

Weight246 lb

BornOct 18, 1999

Age26

CollegeUtah; Univ of California-San Diego See College Stats

ConferencePacific Twelve

Rookie yr2023

Draft2023 · Rd 1, Pick 25 · BUF

All-Time Rank & Honors

career ranks, postseason ranks, awards, title context

Postseason all-time ranks

97thPlayoff Receiving Touchdowns·3

Pro Bowls

Archetype Intelligence

Reliable StarterExplore archetypes →

A tight end with a top 30% among starters — the kind of consistent contributor every roster needs. Solid availability (excellent availability over their career) added to their value.

Career Value · VORP

VORP 69 · #1642 · Above Average

Worth 69 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 36% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 3 of 3 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +23 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

3 cleared

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

Seasons over

cleared the bar

+23

Avg surplus

peak +27

3 seasons × ~23 surplus ≈ VORP 69

Combined Season Grid

The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.

4 grids split in one view

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Receiving									Defense													Snap Counts						Advanced (EPA)
Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	Tkl	Solo	Ast	TFL	QBHits	Sk	Dis	Int	PD	FF	FR	TD	Sfty	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Pass AirYd	Rec AirYd
2023	—	BUF	16	—	91	73	673	2	80.2%	9.2	7.4	—	29	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	699	63.4%	—	0.0%	1	4.0%	—	—	—	—	—
2023	—	KC	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.6	0	538
2024	—	BUF	13	—	75	44	448	2	58.7%	10.2	6.0	—	23	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	471	57.0%	—	0.0%	3	5.0%	—	—	—	—	—
2024	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.8	0	573
2025	—	BUF	12	—	49	39	571	5	79.6%	14.6	11.7	—	28	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	302	37.4%	—	0.0%	1	4.0%	—	—	—	—	—
Career		—	43	—	215	156	1,692	9	72.6%	10.8	7.9	—	80	2	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	1,472	52.6%	—	0.0%	5	4.3%	—	—	27.4	0	1,111

Career EPA27.4·27 receiving·13.7/season

Receiving

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	VAL
2023	24	BUF	16	10*	91	73	673	2	80.2%	9.2	7.4	—	29	13
2024	25	BUF	13	7*	75	44	448	2	58.7%	10.2	6.0	—	23	9.1
2025	26	BUF	12	0*	49	39	571	5	79.6%	14.6	11.7	—	28	12.2
Career			41	17*	215	156	1,692	9	72.6%	10.8	7.9	—	80	34.3

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Snap Counts

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2023	24	BUF	16	10*	699	63.4%	—	0.0%	1	4.0%
2024	25	BUF	13	7*	471	57.0%	—	0.0%	3	5.0%
2025	26	BUF	12	0*	302	37.4%	—	0.0%	1	4.0%
Career			41	17*	1,472	—	—	—	5	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced (EPA)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Rec AirYd
2023	24	—	—	10*	—	—	12.6	538
2024	25	—	—	7*	—	—	14.8	573
Career				17*	—	—	—	1,111

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced Receiving (2018+)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	ADOT	YBC/R	YAC/R	BrkTkl	Drops	Drop%	1D	TgtRate
2023	24	BUF	16	10*	6.0	5.0	4.3	3	4	0.0	29	95.7
2024	25	BUF	13	7*	7.5	4.0	6.2	4	6	0.1	23	84.7
2025	26	BUF	12	0*	9.5	8.0	6.6	1	1	0.0	27	149.2
Career			41	17*	—	—	—	8	11	—	79	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

KV-H Anatomy

KV-H 59 · Strong Starter

A strong starter career by KV-H: a remarkably steady profile that scores 59 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 3 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.

Sustained

career value

×.6

Peak

best 3 seasons

×.4

×0.86

Longevity

career length

Blend 69 × longevity 0.86 = KV-H 59· confidence 100%

What builds the career mark of 69

On-field 52.7

Availability 16.3

On-field production Staying available

Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)

2023bestavg 69elite 702025

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

Depth

of 100

Reached 10% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.

10% of the all-time Receptions leader10

0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0

13.71 EPA/season over 2 seasons55

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 90%.

Per-Snap Impact

Tight Ends · proprietary · 2012+

Excellent

SIS

Yards / snap:1.149 ydsSee leaderboard →

Yards/snap1.149Touch rate0.146EPA/snap0.019Snap share52.6%Off snaps1,472ReliableCV 0.35

Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within tight ends, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).

Career Aging Trajectory

vs. position group average · KV-H basis

Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average tight ends aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).

Playoff vs Regular Season

🏆 Playoff Performer

Yards / Reception: 10.8 regular season → 12.4 playoffs (3 playoff seasons)

+15%

vs reg season

Postseason Career

7 playoff games

Receiving

Tgt31Rec23Yds286TD3Ctch%74.2%Y/R12.4Y/Tgt9.21D13

Defense

Tkl1Solo1

Advanced (EPA)

Rec EPA5.1Rec AirYd196

College Stats

Utah; Univ of California-San DiegoImported college table

College Receiving

Season	School	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D
2018	San Diego	—	24	374	11	—	15.6	—	—	—
2019	San Diego	—	44	835	8	—	19.0	—	—	—
2020	UTAH	—	1	14	0	—	14.0	—	—	—
2021	UTAH	—	36	510	8	—	14.2	—	—	—
2022	UTAH	—	70	890	8	—	12.7	—	—	—
Career		0	175	2,623	35	—	15.0	—	—	—

Reference Graph

Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.

2023 Draft Class· this player went #25

#17Christian GonzalezCB #18Jack CampbellLB #19Calijah KanceyDT #20Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR #21Quentin JohnstonWR #22Zay FlowersWR #23Jordan AddisonWR #24Deonte BanksCB #26Mazi SmithDT #27Anton HarrisonOT #28Myles MurphyDE #29Bryan BreseeDT #30Nolan SmithLB #31Felix Anudike-UzomahDE #32Joey Porter Jr.CB #33Will LevisQB

Franchise Succession

the room, before and after

Dalton inherited the Buffalo Bills TE room from Dawson Knox (2019–2025), and holds it as the most recent the corpus records.

Mark Brammer 1980–1984Buster Barnett 1981–1984Pete Metzelaars 1985–1994Butch Rolle 1986–1991Keith McKeller 1987–1993Tony Cline 1995–1997

Similar Players

Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).

Movementderived from season history

2025final season
Last recorded season with BUF
2023draft
Drafted by BUF — Round 1, Pick 25

Athletic & Unique Profile

verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts

6'3" / 246 lb

Frame

Injury History

2 career games missed (Out)

From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.

Season	Team	Games Out	Designations
2024	BUF	2	W11Out· KneeW13Out· KneeW14Questionable· KneeW15Questionable· Knee
2023	BUF	0	W6Questionable· Concussion

Knox

StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →

Historical Knox · KV-H

Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 3-season peers. See all →

peak 69

Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season

B+2023

B2024

B+2025

Availability

Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 3 seasons.

80%

20232025

2025 · cause not documented · 71%

Era Translator

Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Rec Yds	Rec Yds/G	→ 2025 Rec Yds	→ 2025 /G
2023	673	42.1	747+74	44
2024	448	34.5	608+160	35.8
2025	571	47.6	809+238	47.6

Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries, wikipedia:college-stats (CC-BY-SA, facts-only) · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026

Career Value · VORP

69 career value over replacement — #1642 all-time of 4,642. 23/season above a replacement-level TE.

Draft OutcomeValue ↑

Pick #25 (Rd 1) · BUF · 2023 · +4.1 vs expected KV-H

59actual

54.9 expected · Δ+4.1

Fan Rating

Rate Dalton Kincaid — All-Time

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Dalton Kincaid

All-Time Rank & Honors

Archetype Intelligence

Career Value · VORP

Combined Season Grid

Receiving

Snap Counts

Advanced (EPA)

Advanced Receiving (2018+)

KV-H Anatomy

All-Time Standing

Per-Snap Impact

Career Aging Trajectory

Postseason Career

Receiving

Defense

Advanced (EPA)

College Stats

College Receiving

Reference Graph

Top Teammates

2023 Draft Class· this player went #25

Franchise Succession

Similar Players

Movementderived from season history

Athletic & Unique Profile

Injury History

Knox

Era Translator

Career Geography