Dalton Kincaid is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Kincaid in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Kincaid's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Season totals or exact team stints. Career totals count each season once.
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Snap Counts | Defense | Advanced Receiving (2018+) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | ADOT | YBC/R | YAC/R | BrkTkl | Drops | Drop% | 1D | TgtRate | |||||
| 2023 | 23–24 | BUF | 16 | — | 91 | 73 | 673 | 2 | 80.2% | 9.2 | 7.4 | — | 29 | 699 | 63.4% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 29 | 95.7 |
| 2024 | 24–25 | BUF | 13 | — | 75 | 44 | 448 | 2 | 58.7% | 10.2 | 6.0 | — | 23 | 471 | 57.0% | — | 0.0% | 3 | 0.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.0 | 6.2 | 4 | 6 | 0.1 | 23 | 84.7 |
| 2025 | 25–26 | BUF | 12 | — | 49 | 39 | 571 | 5 | 79.6% | 14.6 | 11.7 | — | 27 | 302 | 37.4% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.5 | 8.0 | 6.6 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 27 | 149.2 |
| 2026 | 26–27 | BUF | 5 | — | 21 | 16 | 277 | 1 | 76.2% | 17.3 | 13.2 | — | 10 | 215 | 66.8% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 46 | — | 236 | 172 | 1,969 | 10 | 72.9% | 11.4 | 8.3 | — | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 11 | — | 79 | — | |
Career Value · VORP
69 career value over replacement — #1676 all-time of 4,695. 23/season above a replacement-level TE.
Pick #25 (Rd 1) · BUF · 2023 · +4.2 vs expected KV-H
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Postseason all-time ranks
A quality tight end with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Worth 69 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 37% of all 4,695 ranked at the position. 3 of 3 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +23 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
3 seasons × ~23 surplus ≈ VORP 69
Benjamin Watson
TE
89% match