David Nelson is a career quality starter — a receiver whose body of work places Nelson in the top half of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Nelson's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
David Nelson
A quality wide receiver with a above-average career — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 21 · #3053 · Role PlayerWorth 21 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 67% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 3 of 4 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +7 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
3 cleared
1 replaced
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
48
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
3
Seasons over
cleared the bar
×
+7
Avg surplus
peak +13
3 seasons × ~7 surplus ≈ VORP 21
Combined Season Grid
The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.
4 grids split in one view
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Defense | Snap Counts | Advanced (EPA) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd | |||||
| 2010 | — | BUF | 14 | — | 47 | 31 | 353 | 3 | 66.0% | 11.4 | 7.5 | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | — | NE | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.8 | 0 | 493 |
| 2011 | — | BUF | 16 | — | 98 | 61 | 658 | 5 | 62.2% | 10.8 | 6.7 | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | — | NE | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.8 | 0 | 833 |
| 2012 | — | BUF | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 40.0% | 15.5 | 6.2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -8.8 | 0 | 40 |
| 2013 | — | NYJ | 12 | — | 61 | 36 | 423 | 2 | 59.0% | 11.8 | 6.9 | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 570 | 73.8% | — | 0.0% | 2 | 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | — | MIA | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -3.9 | 0 | 686 |
| 2014 | — | NYJ | 6 | — | 16 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 50.0% | 8.1 | 4.1 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 300 | 69.0% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 3.0% | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | — | LAC | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -7.2 | 0 | 187 |
| Career | — | 57 | — | 227 | 138 | 1,530 | 10 | 60.8% | 11.1 | 6.7 | — | 77 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 870 | 71.4% | — | 0.0% | 3 | 3.0% | — | — | -5.9 | 0 | 2,239 | |
Career EPA-5.9·-6 receiving·-1.2/season
Receiving
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | VAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 24 | BUF | 14 | — | 47 | 31 | 353 | 3 | 66.0% | 11.4 | 7.5 | — | 19 | 6.8 |
| 2011 | 25 | BUF | 16 | — | 98 | 61 | 658 | 5 | 62.2% | 10.8 | 6.7 | — | 32 | 11.9 |
| 2012 | 26 | BUF | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 40.0% | 15.5 | 6.2 | — | 2 | — |
| 2013 | 27 | NYJ | 12 | 9* | 61 | 36 | 423 | 2 | 59.0% | 11.8 | 6.9 | — | 20 | 6.6 |
| 2014 | 28 | NYJ | 6 | 4* | 16 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 50.0% | 8.1 | 4.1 | — | 4 | 1.8 |
| Career | 49 | 13* | 227 | 138 | 1,530 | 10 | 60.8% | 11.1 | 6.7 | — | 77 | 27.1 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Defense
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 24 | NE | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2011 | 25 | NE | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | 27 | MIA | 2 | 2* | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2014 | 28 | LAC | 1 | 1* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 8 | 3* | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Snap Counts
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | NYJ | 12 | 9* | 570 | 73.8% | — | 0.0% | 2 | 3.0% |
| 2014 | 28 | NYJ | 6 | 4* | 300 | 69.0% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 3.0% |
| Career | 18 | 13* | 870 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced (EPA)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 15.8 | 0 | 493 |
| 2011 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | -1.8 | 0 | 833 |
| 2012 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | -8.8 | 0 | 40 |
| 2013 | 27 | — | — | 9* | — | — | -3.9 | 0 | 686 |
| 2014 | 28 | — | — | 4* | — | — | -7.2 | 0 | 187 |
| Career | 13* | — | — | — | 0 | 2,239 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
KV-H Anatomy
KV-H 49 · SolidA solid career by KV-H: a well-rounded profile that scores 49 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 4 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.
52
Sustained
career value
×.6
55
Peak
best 3 seasons
×.4
×0.93
Longevity
career length
Blend 53.2 × longevity 0.93 = KV-H 49· confidence 94%
What builds the career mark of 52
On-field 35.7
Availability 16.3
On-field production Staying available
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
2010bestavg 482014
All-Time Standing
how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position12
Depth
of 100
Reached 9% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
9% of the all-time Receptions leader9
0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0
-1.17 EPA/season over 5 seasons50
A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 88%.
Per-Snap Impact
Wide Receivers · proprietary · 2012+30
Rotational
SIS
Yards/snap0.561Touch rate0.089EPA/snap-0.013Snap share71.4%Off snaps870Emerging
Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within wide receivers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).
Career Aging Trajectory
vs. position group average · KV-H basisAmber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average wide receivers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
College stats are not imported for this profile yet.
StatVault has the verified college attribution (Florida), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.
Reference Graph
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.
Top Teammates
Rian LindellK3yKyle WilliamsDT3yRyan FitzpatrickQB3yChris KelsayDE3yFred JacksonRB3yBryan ScottLB3yJairus ByrdDB3ySpencer JohnsonDT3yTerrence McGeeCB3ySteve JohnsonWR3yLeodis McKelvinCB3yBrian MoormanP3yGeorge WilsonS3yC.J. SpillerRB3yScott ChandlerTE3yArthur MoatsDE3yAlex CarringtonDE3yDonald JonesWR3yCorey McIntyreFB3yNick FolkK2yDemario DavisOLB2yCalvin PaceOLB2yDavid HarrisOLB2yNick BelloreLB2y
Similar Players
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).
Movementderived from season history
- 2014final season
Last recorded season with NYJ
- 2013team change
Joined NYJ (from BUF)
- 2010signing
Entered the NFL with BUF
Athletic & Unique Profile
verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts6'5" / 215 lb
Frame
Injury History
2 career games missed (Out)From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.
| Season | Team | Games Out | Designations |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | NYJ | 0 | W5Questionable· AnkleW6Questionable· Ankle |
| 2012 | BUF | 1 | W2Out· Knee |
| 2010 | BUF | 1 | W17Out· Ribs |
Knox
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →
Historical Knox · KV-H
Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 4-season peers. See all →
49
peak 55
Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season
C+2010
B2011
C+2013
F2014
Availability
Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 5 seasons.
61%
Era Translator
Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Rec Yds | Rec Yds/G | → 2025 Rec Yds | → 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 353 | 25.2 | 304-49 | 17.9 |
| 2011 | 658 | 41.1 | 598-60 | 35.2 |
| 2013 | 423 | 35.3 | 485+62 | 28.5 |
| 2014 | 65 | 10.8 | 57-8 | 3.4 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026
Career Value · VORP
21 career value over replacement — #3053 all-time of 4,642. 5.3/season above a replacement-level WR.
Fan Rating
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