WRHOU#84ACT

Justin Watson

Top 43% all-time WRsSolid Contributor📉 Fades · -11% playoffs

Height6'2"

Weight215 lb

BornApr 4, 1996

Age30

CollegePenn See College Stats

ConferenceIvy League

Rookie yr2018

Draft2018 · Rd 5, Pick 144 · TB

Archetype Intelligence

Solid ContributorExplore archetypes →

A wide receiver with a middle-tier career — a rotational or backup contributor who filled their role reliably.

Career Value · VORP

VORP 13 · #3448 · Role Player

Worth 13 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 75% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 3 of 4 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +4.3 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

3 cleared

1 replaced

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

Seasons over

cleared the bar

+4.3

Avg surplus

peak +7

3 seasons × ~4.3 surplus ≈ VORP 13

Combined Season Grid

The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.

4 grids split in one view

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Receiving									Defense													Snap Counts						Advanced (EPA)
Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	Tkl	Solo	Ast	TFL	QBHits	Sk	Dis	Int	PD	FF	FR	TD	Sfty	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Pass AirYd	Rec AirYd
2018	—	TB	3	—	3	1	5	0	33.3%	5.0	1.7	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	73	8.8%	—	0.0%	194	58.1%	—	—	—	—	—
2018	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	-1.9	0	15
2019	—	TB	6	—	26	15	159	2	57.7%	10.6	6.1	—	10	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	230	25.8%	1	1.0%	280	56.0%	—	—	—	—	—
2019	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9	0	352
2020	—	TB	3	—	11	7	94	0	63.6%	13.4	8.5	—	5	1	1	0	1	1	1.0	3.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	158	26.1%	—	0.0%	173	54.1%	—	—	—	—	—
2020	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	-12.9	0	106
2021	—	TB	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.0%	—	0.0%	19	70.0%	—	—	—	—	—
2022	—	KC	17	—	34	15	315	2	44.1%	21.0	9.3	—	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	494	44.0%	—	0.0%	67	16.6%	—	—	—	—	—
2022	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7.6	0	637
2023	—	KC	15	—	53	27	460	3	50.9%	17.0	8.7	—	21	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	536	50.0%	—	0.0%	91	23.1%	—	—	—	—	—
2023	—	JAX	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.3	0	928
2024	—	KC	15	—	32	22	289	2	68.8%	13.1	9.0	—	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	686	60.4%	—	0.0%	66	15.5%	—	—	—	—	—
2024	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.1	0	486
2025	—	HOU	2	—	4	3	30	0	75.0%	10.0	7.5	—	1	1	0	1	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	68	38.7%	—	0.0%	31	37.0%	—	—	—	—	—
Career		—	63	—	163	90	1,352	9	55.2%	15.0	8.3	—	62	3	2	1	1	1	1.0	3.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	2,245	36.2%	1	1.0%	921	41.3%	—	—	18.1	0	2,524

Career EPA18.1·18 receiving·3.0/season

Receiving

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	VAL
2018	22	TB	3	0*	3	1	5	0	33.3%	5.0	1.7	—	0	—
2019	23	TB	6	0*	26	15	159	2	57.7%	10.6	6.1	—	10	3.6
2020	24	TB	3	0*	11	7	94	0	63.6%	13.4	8.5	—	5	—
2022	26	KC	17	0*	34	15	315	2	44.1%	21.0	9.3	—	12	6.2
2023	27	KC	15	8*	53	27	460	3	50.9%	17.0	8.7	—	21	8.2
2024	28	KC	15	10*	32	22	289	2	68.8%	13.1	9.0	—	13	5.9
2025	29	HOU	2	—	4	3	30	0	75.0%	10.0	7.5	—	1	—
Career			61	18*	163	90	1,352	9	55.2%	15.0	8.3	—	62	23.9

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Snap Counts

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2018	22	TB	12	0*	73	8.8%	—	0.0%	194	58.1%
2019	23	TB	16	0*	230	25.8%	1	1.0%	280	56.0%
2020	24	TB	11	0*	158	26.1%	—	0.0%	173	54.1%
2021	25	TB	1	—	—	0.0%	—	0.0%	19	70.0%
2022	26	KC	17	0*	494	44.0%	—	0.0%	67	16.6%
2023	27	KC	16	8*	536	50.0%	—	0.0%	91	23.1%
2024	28	KC	17	10*	686	60.4%	—	0.0%	66	15.5%
2025	29	HOU	3	—	68	38.7%	—	0.0%	31	37.0%
Career			93	18*	2,245	—	1	—	921	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced (EPA)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Rec AirYd
2018	22	—	—	0*	—	—	-1.9	15
2019	23	—	—	0*	—	—	1.9	352
2020	24	—	—	0*	—	—	-12.9	106
2022	26	—	—	0*	—	—	7.6	637
2023	27	—	—	8*	—	—	4.3	928
2024	28	—	—	10*	—	—	19.1	486
Career				18*	—	—	—	2,524

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced Receiving (2018+)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	ADOT	YBC/R	YAC/R	Drops	Drop%	1D	TgtRate
2018	22	TB	12	0*	5.0	5.0	0.0	0	0.0	—	42.4
2019	23	TB	16	0*	13.5	9.7	0.9	1	0.0	10	69.2
2020	24	TB	11	0*	9.6	10.7	2.7	0	0.0	5	51.1
2022	26	KC	17	0*	18.7	17.0	4.0	5	0.1	12	84.8
2023	27	KC	16	8*	17.5	15.3	1.7	4	0.1	21	76.0
2024	28	KC	17	10*	15.1	10.0	3.1	2	0.1	13	117.8
2025	29	HOU	3	—	8.3	5.3	4.7	0	0.0	1	95.8
Career			92	18*	—	—	—	12	—	62	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

KV-H Anatomy

KV-H 47 · Solid

A solid career by KV-H: a remarkably steady profile that scores 47 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 4 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.

Sustained

career value

×.6

Peak

best 3 seasons

×.4

×0.93

Longevity

career length

Blend 50.8 × longevity 0.93 = KV-H 47· confidence 94%

What builds the career mark of 50

On-field 33

Availability 17

On-field production Staying available

Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)

2019bestavg 472024

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

Depth

of 100

Reached 6% of the all-time Receiving Yards leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.

6% of the all-time Receiving Yards leader6

0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0

3.02 EPA/season over 6 seasons51

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 92%.

Per-Snap Impact

Wide Receivers · proprietary · 2012+

Rotational

SIS

Yards / snap:0.602 ydsSee leaderboard →

Yards/snap0.602Touch rate0.073EPA/snap0.008Snap share36.2%Off snaps2,245ReliableCV 0.22

Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within wide receivers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).

Career Aging Trajectory

vs. position group average · KV-H basis

Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average wide receivers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).

Playoff vs Regular Season

📉 Regular Season Player

Yards / Reception: 15.0 regular season → 13.3 playoffs (2 playoff seasons)

-11%

vs reg season

Postseason Career

6 playoff games

Receiving

Tgt13Rec9Yds120Ctch%69.2%Y/R13.3Y/Tgt9.21D7

Advanced (EPA)

Rec EPA7.7Rec AirYd161

College Stats

PennCollege listed; stat table pending import

College stats are not imported for this profile yet.

StatVault has the verified college attribution (Penn), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.

Reference Graph

Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.

2018 Draft Class· this player went #144

#135John Franklin-MyersDE #136Marquis HaynesLB #137Dalton SchultzTE #139R.J. McIntoshDT #140Maurice HurstDT #141Shaquem GriffinOLB #142D.J. ReedCB #143Ja'Whaun BentleyLB #145Bilal NicholsDT #146Tre FlowersCB #147Micah KiserLB #148Marcus AllenLB #149Michael DicksonP #150Genard AveryDE #151Davontae HarrisCB #152Dane CruikshankDB

Franchise Succession

the room, before and after

Justin inherited the Kansas City Chiefs WR room from Marquez Valdes-Scantling (2022–2023), and handed it to JuJu Smith-Schuster (2022–2025).

Carlos Carson 1980–1989Anthony Hancock 1982–1986Emile Harry 1986–1992Robb Thomas 1989–1991J.J. Birden 1990–1994Tim Barnett

Similar Players

Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).

Movementderived from season history

2025team change
Joined HOU (from KC)
2025final season
Last recorded season with HOU
2022team change
Joined KC (from TB)
2018draft
Drafted by TB — Round 5, Pick 144

Athletic & Unique Profile

verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts

6'2" / 215 lb

Frame

Injury History

4 career games missed (Out)

From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.

Season	Team	Games Out	Designations
2023	KC	1	W7Out· Elbow
2022	KC	0	W21Questionable· Illness
2021	TB	1	W17Questionable· QuadricepW18Out· QuadricepW19Questionable· Quadricep
2020	TB	2	W3Out· ShoulderW5Out· Chest

Knox

StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →

Historical Knox · KV-H

Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 4-season peers. See all →

peak 52

Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season

D2019

C+2022

C+2023

C+2024

Availability

Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 8 seasons.

70%

Era Translator

Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Rec Yds	Rec Yds/G	→ 2025 Rec Yds	→ 2025 /G
2019	159	26.5	336+177	19.7
2022	315	18.5	238-77	14
2023	460	30.7	467+7	27.4
2024	289	19.3	296+7	17.4

Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026

Career Value · VORP

13 career value over replacement — #3448 all-time of 4,642. 3.3/season above a replacement-level WR.

Draft OutcomeValue ↑

Pick #144 (Rd 5) · TB · 2018 · +14 vs expected KV-H

47actual

33 expected · Δ+14

Fan Rating

Rate Justin Watson — All-Time

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Archetype Intelligence

Career Value · VORP

Combined Season Grid

Receiving

Snap Counts

Advanced (EPA)

Advanced Receiving (2018+)

KV-H Anatomy

All-Time Standing

Per-Snap Impact

Career Aging Trajectory

Postseason Career

Receiving

Advanced (EPA)

College Stats

Reference Graph

Top Teammates

2018 Draft Class· this player went #144

Franchise Succession

Similar Players

Movementderived from season history

Athletic & Unique Profile

Injury History

Knox

Era Translator

Career Geography