Justin Watson
Height6'2"
Weight215 lb
BornApr 4, 1996
Age30
CollegePennSee College Stats
ConferenceIvy League
Rookie yr2018
Draft2018 · Rd 5, Pick 144 · TB
A wide receiver with a middle-tier career — a rotational or backup contributor who filled their role reliably.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 13 · #3424 · Role PlayerWorth 13 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 75% of all 4,612 ranked at the position. 3 of 4 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +4.3 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
3 cleared
1 replaced
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
48
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
3
Seasons over
cleared the bar
×
+4.3
Avg surplus
peak +7
3 seasons × ~4.3 surplus ≈ VORP 13
Combined Season Grid
The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping. Switch to Combined to fold the selected families into unified totals—yards from scrimmage, total TDs, touches.
3 grids split in one view
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Defense | Snap Counts | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | |||||
| 2018 | — | TB | 3 | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 33.3% | 5.0 | 1.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 73 | 8.8% | — | 0.0% | 194 | 58.1% |
| 2019 | — | TB | 6 | — | 26 | 15 | 159 | 2 | 57.7% | 10.6 | 6.1 | — | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 230 | 20.9% | 1 | 0.1% | 280 | 56.0% |
| 2020 | — | TB | 3 | — | 11 | 7 | 94 | 0 | 63.6% | 13.4 | 8.5 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 158 | 21.4% | — | 0.0% | 173 | 54.1% |
| 2021 | — | TB | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 19 | 70.0% |
| 2022 | — | KC | 17 | — | 34 | 15 | 315 | 2 | 44.1% | 21.0 | 9.3 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 494 | 44.0% | — | 0.0% | 67 | 14.7% |
| 2023 | — | KC | 15 | — | 53 | 27 | 460 | 3 | 50.9% | 17.0 | 8.7 | — | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 536 | 50.0% | — | 0.0% | 91 | 23.1% |
| 2024 | — | KC | 15 | — | 32 | 22 | 289 | 2 | 68.8% | 13.1 | 9.0 | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 686 | 60.4% | — | 0.0% | 66 | 15.5% |
| 2025 | — | HOU | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 75.0% | 10.0 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 68 | 38.7% | — | 0.0% | 31 | 37.0% |
| Career | — | 62 | — | 163 | 90 | 1,352 | 9 | 55.2% | 15.0 | 8.3 | — | 62 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 2,245 | 36.2% | 1 | 0.0% | 921 | 35.0% | |
Receiving
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | TB | 3 | 0* | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 33.3% | 5.0 | 1.7 | — | 0 |
| 2019 | 23 | TB | 6 | 0* | 26 | 15 | 159 | 2 | 57.7% | 10.6 | 6.1 | — | 10 |
| 2020 | 24 | TB | 3 | 0* | 11 | 7 | 94 | 0 | 63.6% | 13.4 | 8.5 | — | 5 |
| 2022 | 26 | KC | 17 | 0* | 34 | 15 | 315 | 2 | 44.1% | 21.0 | 9.3 | — | 12 |
| 2023 | 27 | KC | 15 | 8* | 53 | 27 | 460 | 3 | 50.9% | 17.0 | 8.7 | — | 21 |
| 2024 | 28 | KC | 15 | 10* | 32 | 22 | 289 | 2 | 68.8% | 13.1 | 9.0 | — | 13 |
| 2025 | 29 | HOU | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 75.0% | 10.0 | 7.5 | — | 1 |
| Career | 61 | 18* | 163 | 90 | 1,352 | 9 | 55.2% | 15.0 | 8.3 | — | 62 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Snap Counts
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | TB | 12 | 0* | 73 | 8.8% | — | 0.0% | 194 | 58.1% |
| 2019 | 23 | TB | 16 | 0* | 230 | 20.9% | 1 | 0.1% | 280 | 56.0% |
| 2020 | 24 | TB | 11 | 0* | 158 | 21.4% | — | 0.0% | 173 | 54.1% |
| 2021 | 25 | TB | 1 | — | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 19 | 70.0% |
| 2022 | 26 | KC | 17 | 0* | 494 | 44.0% | — | 0.0% | 67 | 14.7% |
| 2023 | 27 | KC | 16 | 8* | 536 | 50.0% | — | 0.0% | 91 | 23.1% |
| 2024 | 28 | KC | 17 | 10* | 686 | 60.4% | — | 0.0% | 66 | 15.5% |
| 2025 | 29 | HOU | 3 | — | 68 | 38.7% | — | 0.0% | 31 | 37.0% |
| Career | 93 | 18* | 2,245 | — | 1 | — | 921 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
KV-H Anatomy
KV-H 47 · SolidA solid career by KV-H: a remarkably steady profile that scores 47 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 4 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.
50
Sustained
career value
×.6
52
Peak
best 3 seasons
×.4
×0.93
Longevity
career length
Blend 50.8 × longevity 0.93 = KV-H 47· confidence 94%
What builds the career mark of 50
On-field 33
Availability 17
On-field production Staying available
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
2019bestavg 472024
All-Time Standing
how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position5
Depth
of 100
Reached 6% of the all-time Receiving Yards leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
6% of the all-time Receiving Yards leader6
0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0
A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 93%.
Per-Snap Impact
Wide Receivers · proprietary · 2012+35
Rotational
SIS
Yards/snap0.602Touch rate0.073EPA/snap0Snap share34.9%Off snaps2,245ReliableCV 0.22
Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within wide receivers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).
Career Aging Trajectory
vs. position group average · KV-H basisAmber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average wide receivers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
Playoff vs Regular Season
📉 Regular Season Player
Yards / Reception: 15.0 regular season → 13.3 playoffs (2 playoff seasons)
-11%
vs reg season
Postseason Career
11 playoff gamesReceiving
Tgt13Rec9Yds120Ctch%69.2%Y/R13.3Y/Tgt9.21D7
Snap Counts
Off252Off%33.7%ST75ST%26.3%
College stats are not imported for this profile yet.
StatVault has the verified college attribution (Penn), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.
Reference Graph
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.
Top Teammates
Donovan SmithOT5yRonald JonesRB5yLavonte DavidOLB4yMike EvansWR4yJason Pierre-PaulDE4yWilliam GholstonDT4yChris Godwin Jr.WR4yRakeem Nunez-RochesDT4yCameron BrateTE4yCarlton Davis IIICB4yAlex CappaG4yJordan WhiteheadFS4yAli MarpetG4yRyan JensenC4yVita VeaDT4yKevin MinterILB4yMike EdwardsSAF4yAndrew AdamsDB4yO.J. HowardTE4yNdamukong SuhNT3yTravis KelceTE3yJames WinchesterLS3yJoe ThuneyG3yChris JonesDE3y
2018 Draft Class· this player went #144
#136Marquis HaynesLB#137Dalton SchultzTE#138Cole MadisonG#139R.J. McIntoshDT#140Maurice HurstDT#141Shaquem GriffinOLB#142D.J. ReedCB#143Ja'Whaun BentleyLB#145Bilal NicholsDT#146Tre FlowersCB#147Micah KiserLB#148Marcus AllenLB#149Michael DicksonP#150Genard AveryDE#151Davontae HarrisCB#152Dane CruikshankDB
Similar Players
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).
Movementderived from season history
- 2025team change
Joined HOU (from KC)
- 2025final season
Last recorded season with HOU
- 2022team change
Joined KC (from TB)
- 2018draft
Drafted by TB — Round 5, Pick 144
Athletic & Unique Profile
verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts6'2" / 215 lb
Frame
Knox
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →
Historical Knox · KV-H
Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 4-season peers. See all →
47
peak 52
Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season
D2019
C+2022
C+2023
C+2024
Availability
Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 8 seasons.
70%
Era Translator
Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Rec Yds | Rec Yds/G | → 2025 Rec Yds | → 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 159 | 26.5 | 336+177 | 19.8 |
| 2022 | 315 | 18.5 | 242-73 | 14.2 |
| 2023 | 460 | 30.7 | 467+7 | 27.4 |
| 2024 | 289 | 19.3 | 297+8 | 17.5 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:draft_picks · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 7/31/2026
Career Value · VORP
13 career value over replacement — #3424 all-time of 4,612. 3.3/season above a replacement-level WR.
Draft OutcomeValue ↑
Pick #144 (Rd 5) · TB · 2018 · +16.4 vs expected KV-H
47actual
30.6 expected · Δ+16.4
Fan Rating
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