Christian Watson is a career quality starter β a receiver whose body of work places Watson in the top half of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Watson's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Christian Watson
Height6'4"
Weight208 lb
BornMay 12, 1999
Age27
ConferenceMissouri Valley Football
Rookie yr2022
Draft2022 Β· Rd 2, Pick 34 Β· GB
A quality wide receiver with a top 30% among starters β a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value Β· VORP
VORP 51 Β· #2001 Β· Above AverageWorth 51 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver β top 44% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 4 of 4 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +12.8 on average.See board β
Seasons above replacement
4 cleared
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it β adds 0, never a debit
48
Replacement
the KC-H bar
β
4
Seasons over
cleared the bar
Γ
+12.8
Avg surplus
peak +17
4 seasons Γ ~12.8 surplus β VORP 51
Combined Season Grid
The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at onceβno tab hopping.
4 grids split in one view
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Rushing | Defense | Snap Counts | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | |||||
| 2022 | β | GB | 14 | β | 66 | 41 | 611 | 7 | 62.1% | 14.9 | 9.3 | β | 28 | 7 | 80 | 2 | 11.4 | 28.6 | 2 | 28.6 | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | 507 | 57.4% | β | 0.0% | 14 | 13.0% |
| 2023 | β | GB | 9 | β | 53 | 28 | 422 | 5 | 52.8% | 15.1 | 8.0 | β | 20 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1 | 25.0 | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | 446 | 76.9% | β | 0.0% | β | 0.0% |
| 2023 | β | DET | 1 | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β |
| 2024 | β | GB | 14 | β | 53 | 29 | 620 | 2 | 54.7% | 21.4 | 11.7 | β | 21 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1 | 25.0 | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | 555 | 59.1% | β | 0.0% | β | 0.0% |
| 2024 | β | CHI | 3 | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | β | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 | β | β | β | β | β | β |
| 2025 | β | GB | 10 | β | 55 | 35 | 611 | 6 | 63.6% | 17.5 | 11.1 | β | 28 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 | 418 | 67.7% | β | 0.0% | 1 | 5.0% |
| Career | β | 51 | β | 227 | 133 | 2,264 | 20 | 58.6% | 17.0 | 10.0 | β | 97 | 16 | 117 | 2 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 4 | 25.0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 | 1,926 | 65.3% | β | 0.0% | 15 | 9.0% | |
Career EPA57.0Β·6 rushing Β· 51 receivingΒ·19.0/season
Rushing
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | VAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | GB | 14 | 8* | 7 | 80 | 2 | 11.4 | 28.6 | 2 | 28.6 | 0 | 11.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | GB | 9 | 7* | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1 | 25.0 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | GB | 14 | 9* | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1 | 25.0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | GB | 10 | 7* | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 10.2 |
| Career | 47 | 31* | 16 | 117 | 2 | 7.3 | β | 4 | β | 0 | 37.5 |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Receiving
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | GB | 14 | 8* | 66 | 41 | 611 | 7 | 62.1% | 14.9 | 9.3 | β | 28 |
| 2023 | 24 | GB | 9 | 7* | 53 | 28 | 422 | 5 | 52.8% | 15.1 | 8.0 | β | 20 |
| 2024 | 25 | GB | 14 | 9* | 53 | 29 | 620 | 2 | 54.7% | 21.4 | 11.7 | β | 21 |
| 2025 | 26 | GB | 10 | 7* | 55 | 35 | 611 | 6 | 63.6% | 17.5 | 11.1 | β | 28 |
| Career | 47 | 31* | 227 | 133 | 2,264 | 20 | 58.6% | 17.0 | 10.0 | β | 97 |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Defense
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | DET | 1 | 1* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 25 | CHI | 3 | 3* | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 26 | GB | 1 | 1* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 5 | 5* | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | β | 0 | 0 | 0 | β | 0 | 0 |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Snap Counts
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | GB | 14 | 8* | 507 | 57.4% | β | 0.0% | 14 | 13.0% |
| 2023 | 24 | GB | 9 | 7* | 446 | 76.9% | β | 0.0% | β | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 25 | GB | 15 | 9* | 555 | 59.1% | β | 0.0% | β | 0.0% |
| 2025 | 26 | GB | 10 | 7* | 418 | 67.7% | β | 0.0% | 1 | 5.0% |
| Career | 48 | 31* | 1,926 | β | β | β | 15 | β |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced (EPA)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | β | β | 8* | β | 6.7 | 30.7 | 0 | 923 |
| 2023 | 24 | β | β | 7* | β | -1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 817 |
| 2024 | 25 | β | β | 9* | β | 0.5 | 18.8 | 0 | 944 |
| Career | 24* | β | β | β | 0 | 2,684 |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Rushing (2018+)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | YBC | YBC/Att | YAC | YAC/Att | BrkTkl | Att/Br | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | GB | 14 | 8* | 77 | 11.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 0 | β | 2 |
| 2023 | 24 | GB | 9 | 7* | -3 | -0.8 | 14 | 3.5 | 1 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 2024 | 25 | GB | 15 | 9* | 19 | 4.8 | 4 | 1.0 | 1 | 4.0 | 1 |
| 2025 | 26 | GB | 10 | 7* | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | β | 0 |
| Career | 48 | 31* | 96 | β | 21 | β | 2 | β | 4 |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Receiving (2018+)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | ADOT | YBC/R | YAC/R | BrkTkl | Drops | Drop% | 1D | TgtRate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | GB | 14 | 8* | 13.8 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 3 | 4 | 0.1 | 28 | 121.5 |
| 2023 | 24 | GB | 9 | 7* | 15.6 | 11.3 | 3.8 | 0 | 3 | 0.1 | 20 | 71.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | GB | 15 | 9* | 17.8 | 16.2 | 5.1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 21 | 93.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | GB | 10 | 7* | 17.8 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 28 | 122.6 |
| Career | 48 | 31* | β | β | β | 3 | 10 | β | 97 | β |
* GS not available from free sources β SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
KV-H Anatomy
KV-H 57 Β· Strong StarterA strong starter career by KV-H: a remarkably steady profile that scores 57 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 4 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.
61
Sustained
career value
Γ.6
62
Peak
best 3 seasons
Γ.4
Γ0.93
Longevity
career length
Blend 61.4 Γ longevity 0.93 = KV-H 57Β· confidence 100%
What builds the career mark of 61
On-field 46.6
Availability 14.4
On-field production Staying available
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
2022bestavg 612025
All-Time Standing
how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position14
Depth
of 100
Reached 10% of the all-time Receiving Touchdowns leader β a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
10% of the all-time Receiving Touchdowns leader10
0 categories β₯25% of the all-time leader0
18.99 EPA/season over 3 seasons56
A 0β100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data β career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence β so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite β₯ 85 Β· Strong β₯ 65 Β· Solid β₯ 45 Β· Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 93%.
Per-Snap Impact
Wide Receivers Β· proprietary Β· 2012+67
Above average
SIS
Yards/snap1.236Touch rate0.126EPA/snap0.03Snap share65.3%Off snaps1,926ConsistentCV 0.16
Production per snap β the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within wide receivers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).
Career Aging Trajectory
vs. position group average Β· KV-H basisAmber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average wide receivers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
Combine Β· 2022
Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.
4.36s
40-Yard
Strong Β· 89th pct
Pos 89thAll 97thClass Pos 80thClass All 95th
38.5"
Vertical
Strong Β· 80th pct
Pos 80thAll 89thClass Pos 85thClass All 91th
136"
Broad Jump
Elite Β· 99th pct
Pos 99thAll 99thClass Pos 98thClass All 99th
Playoff vs Regular Season
π Regular Season Player
Yards / Reception: 17.0 regular season β 11.2 playoffs (2 playoff seasons)
-34%
vs reg season
Postseason Career
3 playoff gamesReceiving
Tgt10Rec5Yds56TD1Ctch%50.0%Y/R11.2Y/Tgt5.61D3
Advanced (EPA)
Rec EPA-1.6Rec AirYd26
College Rushing
| Season | School | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | β | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | β | β | β | β |
| 2016 | β | 3 | 53 | 0 | 17.7 | 0.0 | β | β | β |
| 2018 | North Dakota State | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | β | β | β | β |
| 2019 | North Dakota State | 13 | 162 | 1 | 12.5 | 7.7 | β | β | β |
| 2020 | North Dakota State | 21 | 116 | 0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | β | β | β |
| 2021 | North Dakota State | 15 | 114 | 1 | 7.6 | 6.7 | β | β | β |
| Career | 52 | 445 | 2 | 8.6 | 3.8 | β | β | β |
College Receiving
| Season | School | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | β | β | 4 | 63 | 2 | β | 15.8 | β | β | β |
| 2016 | β | β | 23 | 393 | 8 | β | 17.1 | β | β | β |
| 2018 | North Dakota State | β | 9 | 165 | 0 | β | 18.3 | β | β | β |
| 2019 | North Dakota State | β | 34 | 732 | 6 | β | 21.5 | β | β | β |
| 2020 | North Dakota State | β | 19 | 442 | 1 | β | 23.3 | β | β | β |
| 2021 | North Dakota State | β | 43 | 801 | 7 | β | 18.6 | β | β | β |
| Career | 0 | 132 | 2,596 | 24 | β | 19.7 | β | β | β |
Reference Graph
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters β every name is linked.
Top Teammates
Keisean NixonDB4yRashan GaryLB4yElgton JenkinsC4yIsaiah McDuffieLB4yKingsley EnagbareLB4yRomeo DoubsWR4yQuay WalkerLB4yDevonte WyattDT4yJordan LoveQB4yRasheed WalkerOT4yZach TomG4ySean RhyanOT4yPreston SmithDE3yKenny ClarkNT3yEric WilsonLB3yMatthew OrzechLS3yTedarrell SlatonDT3yJaire AlexanderCB3yJosh MyersC3yCorey BallentineDB3yEric StokesCB3yDaniel WhelanP3yKarl BrooksDT3yCarrington ValentineDB3y
2022 Draft ClassΒ· this player went #34
Franchise Succession
the room, before and afterChristian inherited the Green Bay Packers WR room from Allen Lazard (2018β2022), and handed it to Romeo Doubs (2022β2025).
Similar Players
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0β100%).
Movementderived from season history
- 2025final season
Last recorded season with GB
- 2022draft
Drafted by GB β Round 2, Pick 34
Athletic & Unique Profile
verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts6'4" / 208 lb
Frame
208 lb at 4.36s
Size-speed
38.5" vert / 136" broad
Explosion
Injury History
4 career games missed (Out)From nflverse weekly injury reports Β· coverage begins 2009.
| Season | Team | Games Out | Designations |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GB | 0 | W5DoubtfulΒ· AnkleW6QuestionableΒ· AnkleW17QuestionableΒ· KneeW18QuestionableΒ· KneeW19OutΒ· Knee |
| 2023 | GB | 2 | W1OutΒ· HamstringW2QuestionableΒ· HamstringW3QuestionableΒ· HamstringW4QuestionableΒ· HamstringW14OutΒ· HamstringW15DoubtfulΒ· HamstringW16DoubtfulΒ· HamstringW17DoubtfulΒ· HamstringW18QuestionableΒ· HamstringW19QuestionableΒ· Hamstring |
| 2022 | GB | 2 | W3QuestionableΒ· HamstringW6OutΒ· HamstringW7OutΒ· HamstringW8QuestionableΒ· HamstringW9QuestionableΒ· ConcussionW17QuestionableΒ· Hip |
Knox
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works β
Historical Knox Β· KV-H
Era-normalized career quality β z-scored against 4-season peers. See all β
57
peak 62
Season Report CardsΒ· KV-H era-normalized per season
B2022
C+2023
B2024
B2025
Availability
Career durability β games played vs. scheduled, across 4 seasons.
71%
Era Translator
Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL β each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Rec Yds | Rec Yds/G | β 2025 Rec Yds | β 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 611 | 43.6 | 671+60 | 39.5 |
| 2023 | 422 | 46.9 | 751+329 | 44.2 |
| 2024 | 620 | 44.3 | 733+113 | 43.1 |
| 2025 | 611 | 61.1 | 1,039+428 | 61.1 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries, wikipedia:college-stats (CC-BY-SA, facts-only) Β· multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle Β· updated 6/18/2026
Career Value Β· VORP
51 career value over replacement β #2001 all-time of 4,642. 12.8/season above a replacement-level WR.
Draft OutcomeValue β
Pick #34 (Rd 2) Β· GB Β· 2022 Β· +2.1 vs expected KV-H
57actual
54.9 expected Β· Ξ+2.1
Fan Rating
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