Not to be confused withFred Davis (DB · 2026).

Fred Davis is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Davis in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Davis's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.

TEWAS#83ACT

Fred Davis

Top 22% all-time TEsHigh-End Starter📈 Late Developer · 2011

Height6'4"

Weight247 lb

BornJan 15, 1986

Age40

CollegeUSC See College Stats

Rookie yr2008

Draft2008 · Rd 2, Pick 48 · WAS

Archetype Intelligence

High-End StarterExplore archetypes →

A quality tight end with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.

Career Value · VORP

VORP 72 · #1577 · Above Average

Worth 72 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 35% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 4 of 6 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +18 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

4 cleared

2 replaced

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

Seasons over

cleared the bar

+18

Avg surplus

peak +35

4 seasons × ~18 surplus ≈ VORP 72

Combined Season Grid

The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.

4 grids split in one view

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Receiving									Rushing								Defense													Snap Counts
Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	Att	Yds	TD	Y/A	TD%	1D	1D%	Fmb	Tkl	Solo	Ast	TFL	QBHits	Sk	Dis	Int	PD	FF	FR	TD	Sfty	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2008	—	WAS	4	—	3	3	27	0	100.0%	9.0	9.0	—	1	1	-3	0	-3.0	0.0	0	0.0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	—	WAS	15	—	76	48	509	6	63.2%	10.6	6.7	—	31	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	—	DAL	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	—	WAS	13	—	31	21	316	3	67.7%	15.0	10.2	—	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	—	WAS	12	—	88	59	796	3	67.0%	13.5	9.0	—	39	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	—	SF	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	3	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	—	WAS	7	—	32	24	325	0	75.0%	13.5	10.2	—	17	1	1	0	1.0	0.0	0	0.0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	—	WAS	7	—	18	7	70	1	38.9%	10.0	3.9	—	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	237	34.2%	—	0.0%	12	41.0%
Career		—	62	—	248	162	2,043	13	65.3%	12.6	8.2	—	104	2	-2	0	-1.0	0.0	0	0.0	0	4	4	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	237	34.2%	—	0.0%	12	41.0%

Career EPA51.0·-1 rushing · 52 receiving·8.5/season

Rushing

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Att	Yds	Y/A	TD%	1D%	VAL
2008	22	WAS	4	—	1	-3	-3.0	0.0	0.0	0.9
2012	26	WAS	7	—	1	1	1.0	0.0	0.0	4.6
Career			11		2	-2	-1.0	—	—	44.5

Receiving

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D
2008	22	WAS	4	—	3	3	27	0	100.0%	9.0	9.0	—	1
2009	23	WAS	15	—	76	48	509	6	63.2%	10.6	6.7	—	31
2010	24	WAS	13	—	31	21	316	3	67.7%	15.0	10.2	—	11
2011	25	WAS	12	—	88	59	796	3	67.0%	13.5	9.0	—	39
2012	26	WAS	7	—	32	24	325	0	75.0%	13.5	10.2	—	17
2013	27	WAS	7	0*	18	7	70	1	38.9%	10.0	3.9	—	5
Career			58		248	162	2,043	13	65.3%	12.6	8.2	—	104

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Snap Counts

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2013	27	WAS	10	0*	237	34.2%	—	0.0%	12	41.0%
Career			10		237	—	—	—	12	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced (EPA)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Rec AirYd
2008	22	—	—	—	—	-1.0	1.5	13
2009	23	—	—	—	—	—	3.5	470
2010	24	—	—	—	—	—	18.1	217
2011	25	—	—	—	—	—	15.6	761
2012	26	—	—	—	—	-0.5	13.6	253
2013	27	—	—	0*	—	—	0.1	186
Career					—	—	—	1,900

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

KV-H Anatomy

KV-H 61 · Strong Starter

A strong starter career by KV-H: a peak-driven profile that scores 61 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 6 scored seasons.

Sustained

career value

×.6

Peak

best 3 seasons

×.4

×1

Longevity

career length

Blend 61.6 × longevity 1 = KV-H 61· confidence 88%

What builds the career mark of 58

On-field 44.3

Availability 13.7

On-field production Staying available

Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)

2008bestavg 51elite 702013

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

Depth

of 100

Reached 10% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.

10% of the all-time Receptions leader10

0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0

8.5 EPA/season over 6 seasons53

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 93%.

Per-Snap Impact

Tight Ends · proprietary · 2012+

—

below snap floor

Yards / snap:0.295 ydsSee leaderboard →

Yards/snap0.295Touch rate0.076EPA/snap0.001Snap share34.2%Off snaps237Emerging

Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within tight ends, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).

Career Aging Trajectory

vs. position group average · KV-H basis

Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average tight ends aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).

Combine · 2008

Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.

TE · 2008 class

4.68s

40-Yard

Above avg · 66th pct

Pos 66thAll 47thClass Pos 53thClass All 47th

24 reps

Bench

Strong · 81th pct

Pos 81thAll 69thClass Pos 77thClass All 62th

College Stats

USCCollege listed; stat table pending import

College stats are not imported for this profile yet.

StatVault has the verified college attribution (USC), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.

Reference Graph

Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.

2008 Draft Class· this player went #48

#39Chilo RachalG #41James HardyWR #42Eddie RoyalWR #43Tyrell JohnsonDB #44Matt ForteRB #45Jordon DizonOLB #46Jerome SimpsonWR #47Trevor LawsDT #49DeSean JacksonWR #50Calais CampbellDE #51Malcolm KellyWR #52Quentin GrovesOLB #53Limas SweedWR #54Jason JonesDE #55Ray RiceRB #56Brian BrohmQB

Franchise Succession

the room, before and after

Fred inherited the Washington Commanders TE room from Chris Cooley (2004–2012), and handed it to Logan Paulsen (2010–2014).

Clint Didier 1982–1987Terry Orr 1986–1992Jimmie Johnson 1989–1991James Jenkins 1994–2000Scott Galbraith 1995–1996Jamie Asher

Similar Players

Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).

Movementderived from season history

2013final season
Last recorded season with WAS
2008draft
Drafted by WAS — Round 2, Pick 48

Athletic & Unique Profile

verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts

6'4" / 247 lb

Frame

255 lb at 4.68s

Size-speed

24 reps

Bench power

Injury History

From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.

Season	Team	Games Out	Designations
2013	WAS	0	W4Questionable· Ankle
2011	WAS	0	W9Questionable· Ankle

Knox

StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →

Historical Knox · KV-H

Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 6-season peers. See all →

peak 67

Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season

F2008

B2009

C+2010

A2011

C+2012

D2013

Availability

Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 6 seasons.

71%

Era Translator

Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Rec Yds	Rec Yds/G	→ 2025 Rec Yds	→ 2025 /G
2008	27	6.8	87+60	5.1
2009	509	33.9	559+50	32.9
2010	316	24.3	395+79	23.2
2011	796	66.3	1,043+247	61.4
2012	325	46.4	740+415	43.5
2013	70	10	167+97	9.8

Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026

Career Value · VORP

72 career value over replacement — #1577 all-time of 4,642. 12/season above a replacement-level TE.

Draft OutcomeValue ↑

Pick #48 (Rd 2) · WAS · 2008 · +11.8 vs expected KV-H

61actual

49.2 expected · Δ+11.8

Fan Rating

Rate Fred Davis — All-Time

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Fred Davis

Archetype Intelligence

Career Value · VORP

Combined Season Grid

Rushing

Receiving

Snap Counts

Advanced (EPA)

KV-H Anatomy

All-Time Standing

Per-Snap Impact

Career Aging Trajectory

Combine · 2008

College Stats

Reference Graph

Top Teammates

2008 Draft Class· this player went #48

Franchise Succession

Similar Players

Movementderived from season history

Athletic & Unique Profile

Injury History

Knox

Era Translator

Career Geography