Fred Davis is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Davis in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Davis's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Career Value · VORP
72 career value over replacement — #1611 all-time of 4,695. 12/season above a replacement-level TE.
Pick #48 (Rd 2) · WAS · 2008 · +11.8 vs expected KV-H
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Season totals or exact team stints. Career totals count each season once.
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | VAL | Receiving | Rushing | Snap Counts | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | ||||||
| 2008 | 22–23 | WAS | 4 | — | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 100.0% | 9.0 | 9.0 | — | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23–24 | WAS | 15 | — | 4.6 | 76 | 48 | 509 | 6 | 63.2% | 10.6 | 6.7 | — | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24–25 | WAS | 13 | — | 1.8 | 31 | 21 | 316 | 3 | 67.7% | 15.0 | 10.2 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25–26 | WAS | 12 | — | 7.5 | 88 | 59 | 796 | 3 | 67.0% | 13.5 | 9.0 | — | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26–27 | WAS | 7 | — | 2.3 | 32 | 24 | 325 | 0 | 75.0% | 13.5 | 10.2 | — | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27–28 | WAS | 10 | — | 0.0 | 18 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 38.9% | 10.0 | 3.9 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 237 | 34.2% | — | 0.0% | 12 | 4.1% |
| Career | — | 61 | — | 16.2 | 248 | 162 | 2,043 | 13 | 65.3% | 12.6 | 8.2 | — | 104 | 2 | -2 | 0 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 237 | 34.2% | — | 0.0% | 12 | 4.1% | |
A quality tight end with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Worth 72 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 35% of all 4,695 ranked at the position. 4 of 6 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +18 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
4 seasons × ~18 surplus ≈
Jackie Smith
TE
91% match
2008 Draft ClassmatesFull class →