Fred Davis is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Davis in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Davis's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Career Value · VORP
72 career value over replacement — #1611 all-time of 4,695. 12/season above a replacement-level TE.
Pick #48 (Rd 2) · WAS · 2008 · +11.8 vs expected KV-H
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Season totals or exact team stints. Career totals count each season once.
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | VAL | Receiving | Rushing | Snap Counts | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | ||||||
| 2008 | 22–23 | WAS | 4 | — | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 100.0% | 9.0 | 9.0 | — | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23–24 | WAS | 15 | — | 4.6 | 76 | 48 | 509 | 6 | 63.2% | 10.6 | 6.7 | — | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24–25 | WAS | 13 | — | 1.8 | 31 | 21 | 316 | 3 | 67.7% | 15.0 | 10.2 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25–26 | WAS | 12 | — | 7.5 | 88 | 59 | 796 | 3 | 67.0% | 13.5 | 9.0 | — | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26–27 | WAS | 7 | — | 2.3 | 32 | 24 | 325 | 0 | 75.0% | 13.5 | 10.2 | — | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27–28 | WAS | 10 | — | 0.0 | 18 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 38.9% | 10.0 | 3.9 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 237 | 34.2% | — | 0.0% | 12 | 4.1% |
| Career | — | 61 | — | 16.2 | 248 | 162 | 2,043 | 13 | 65.3% | 12.6 | 8.2 | — | 104 | 2 | -2 | 0 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 237 | 34.2% | — | 0.0% | 12 | 4.1% | |
6 seasons · peak 7.5 in 2011
VAL (Value Above League) measures each NFL season against that season's league; the dashed line is zero — a season that added nothing above the league's fringe. ● peak · ○ league-best season.
1.2 career wins over 6 seasons · 1 win = 13.08 VAL
Best season · 2011 · +0.6 wins
0.6 of WAS's 5 wins (11%)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 22–23 | WAS | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 100.0% | 9.0 | 9.0 | — | 1 |
| 2009 | 23–24 | WAS | 15 | — | 76 | 48 | 509 | 6 | 63.2% | 10.6 | 6.7 | — | 31 |
| 2010 | 24–25 | WAS | 13 | — | 31 | 21 | 316 | 3 | 67.7% | 15.0 | 10.2 | — | 11 |
| 2011 | 25–26 | WAS | 12 | — | 88 | 59 | 796 | 3 | 67.0% | 13.5 | 9.0 | — | 39 |
| 2012 | 26–27 | WAS | 7 | — | 32 | 24 | 325 | 0 | 75.0% | 13.5 | 10.2 | — | 17 |
| 2013 | 27–28 | WAS | 7 | 0* | 18 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 38.9% | 10.0 | 3.9 | — | 5 |
| Career | 58 | 248 | 162 | 2,043 | 13 | 65.3% | 12.6 | 8.2 | — | 104 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
A strong starter career by KV-H: a peak-driven profile that scores 61 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 6 scored seasons.
Blend 61.6 × longevity 1 = KV-H 61· confidence 88%
Jackie Smith
TE
91% match
2008 Draft ClassmatesFull class →
Latest season · 2013 · −0.1 wins
WAS's 3 wins · no wins above replacement this season
VAL 3.0 measures each part of a NFL player's game in his sport's own currency against what that season's fringe players produced, converted to team wins with rates fitted from every team-season in the encyclopedia. Team wins are the club's actual regular-season wins; a traded season, or one whose club record is missing, shows no share.
#153 of 698 all-time TEs by KV-H
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)