David Nelson is a career quality starter — a receiver whose body of work places Nelson in the top half of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Nelson's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Season totals or exact team stints. Career totals count each season once.
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | VAL | Receiving | Snap Counts | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | ||||||
| 2010 | 23–24 | BUF | 14 | — | 2.1 | 47 | 31 | 353 | 3 | 66.0% | 11.4 | 7.5 | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24–25 | BUF | 16 | — | 6.0 | 98 | 61 | 658 | 5 | 62.2% | 10.8 | 6.7 | — | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25–26 | BUF | 1 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 40.0% | 15.5 | 6.2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26–27 | NYJ | 12 | — | 2.8 | 61 | 36 | 423 | 2 | 59.0% | 11.8 | 6.9 | — | 20 | 570 | 73.8% | — | 0.0% | 2 | 0.5% |
| 2014 | 27–28 | NYJ | 6 | — | 0.0 | 16 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 50.0% | 8.1 | 4.1 | — | 4 | 300 | 69.0% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5% |
| Career | — | 49 | — | 10.9 | 227 | 138 | 1,530 | 10 | 60.8% | 11.1 | 6.7 | — | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Career Value · VORP
21 career value over replacement — #3090 all-time of 4,695. 5.3/season above a replacement-level WR.
Fan Rating
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4 seasons · peak 6.0 in 2011
VAL (Value Above League) measures each NFL season against that season's league; the dashed line is zero — a season that added nothing above the league's fringe. ● peak · ○ league-best season.
0.8 career wins over 4 seasons · 1 win = 13.08 VAL
Best season · 2011 · +0.5 wins
0.5 of BUF's 6 wins (8%)
VAL 3.0 measures each part of a NFL player's game in his sport's own currency against what that season's fringe players produced, converted to team wins with rates fitted from every team-season in the encyclopedia. Team wins are the club's actual regular-season wins; a traded season, or one whose club record is missing, shows no share.
#532 of 1,332 all-time WRs by KV-H
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | VAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 23–24 | BUF | 14 | — | 47 | 31 | 353 | 3 | 66.0% | 11.4 | 7.5 | — | 19 | 2.1 |
| 2011 | 24–25 | BUF | 16 | — | 98 | 61 | 658 | 5 | 62.2% | 10.8 | 6.7 | — | 32 | 6 |
| 2012 | 25–26 | BUF | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 40.0% | 15.5 | 6.2 | — | 2 | — |
| 2013 | 26–27 | NYJ | 12 | 9* | 61 | 36 | 423 | 2 | 59.0% | 11.8 | 6.9 | — | 20 | 2.8 |
| 2014 | 27–28 | NYJ | 6 | 4* | 16 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 50.0% | 8.1 | 4.1 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Career | 49 | 227 | 138 | 1,530 | 10 | 60.8% | 11.1 | 6.7 | — | 77 | 10.9 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 26–27 | NYJ | 12 | 9* | 570 | 73.8% | — | 0.0% | 2 | 0.5% |
| 2014 | 27–28 | NYJ | 6 | 4* | 300 | 69.0% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5% |
| Career | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Career games and per-game totals are unavailable because the season rows do not establish complete career coverage. Published career totals are preserved.
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
A solid career by KV-H: a well-rounded profile that scores 49 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 4 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.
Blend 53.2 × longevity 0.93 = KV-H 49· confidence 94%
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
J.J. Stokes
WR
89% match
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