J.J. Nelson is a career quality starter — a receiver whose body of work places Nelson in the top half of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Nelson's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
J.J. Nelson
Height5'10"
Weight160 lb
BornApr 24, 1992
Age34
CollegeUABSee College Stats
ConferenceNO FOOTBALL
Rookie yr2015
Draft2015 · Rd 5, Pick 159 · ARI
A quality wide receiver with a above-average career — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 20 · #3102 · Role PlayerWorth 20 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 68% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 2 of 4 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +10 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
2 cleared
2 replaced
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
48
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
2
Seasons over
cleared the bar
×
+10
Avg surplus
peak +11
2 seasons × ~10 surplus ≈ VORP 20
Combined Season Grid
The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.
4 grids split in one view
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Rushing | Defense | Snap Counts | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | |||||
| 2015 | — | ARI | 9 | — | 27 | 11 | 299 | 2 | 40.7% | 27.2 | 11.1 | — | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 148 | 20.1% | — | 0.0% | 15 | 9.8% |
| 2015 | — | CHI | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | — | ARI | 14 | — | 74 | 34 | 568 | 6 | 45.9% | 16.7 | 7.7 | — | 26 | 4 | 83 | 1 | 20.8 | 25.0 | 3 | 75.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 471 | 43.3% | — | 0.0% | 10 | 8.0% |
| 2016 | — | LA | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | — | ARI | 16 | — | 61 | 29 | 508 | 2 | 47.5% | 17.5 | 8.3 | — | 21 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 2 | 66.7 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 537 | 48.4% | — | 0.0% | 17 | 10.6% |
| 2018 | — | ARI | 9 | — | 19 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 36.8% | 9.1 | 3.4 | — | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 213 | 25.4% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 3.0% |
| 2018 | — | CHI | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | LV | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 80.0% | 9.0 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | OAK | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52 | 44.5% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Career | — | 56 | — | 186 | 85 | 1,475 | 11 | 45.7% | 17.4 | 7.9 | — | 63 | 12 | 120 | 1 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 5 | 41.7 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 1,421 | 36.4% | — | 0.0% | 43 | 7.8% | |
Career EPA8.5·6 rushing · 2 receiving·1.7/season
Rushing
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | VAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | ARI | 9 | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| 2016 | 24 | ARI | 14 | 0* | 4 | 83 | 1 | 20.8 | 25.0 | 3 | 75.0 | 0 | 10.7 |
| 2017 | 25 | ARI | 16 | 0* | 3 | 37 | 0 | 12.3 | 0.0 | 2 | 66.7 | 0 | 8.1 |
| 2018 | 26 | ARI | 9 | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Career | 48 | 12 | 120 | 1 | 10.0 | — | 5 | — | 0 | 24.5 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Receiving
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | ARI | 9 | 0* | 27 | 11 | 299 | 2 | 40.7% | 27.2 | 11.1 | — | 11 |
| 2016 | 24 | ARI | 14 | 0* | 74 | 34 | 568 | 6 | 45.9% | 16.7 | 7.7 | — | 26 |
| 2017 | 25 | ARI | 16 | 0* | 61 | 29 | 508 | 2 | 47.5% | 17.5 | 8.3 | — | 21 |
| 2018 | 26 | ARI | 9 | 0* | 19 | 7 | 64 | 0 | 36.8% | 9.1 | 3.4 | — | 4 |
| 2019 | 27 | LV | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 80.0% | 9.0 | 7.2 | — | 1 |
| Career | 49 | 186 | 85 | 1,475 | 11 | 45.7% | 17.4 | 7.9 | — | 63 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Defense
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | CHI | 2 | 0* | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | 24 | LA | 2 | 0* | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | 26 | CHI | 1 | 0* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Snap Counts
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | ARI | 11 | 0* | 148 | 20.1% | — | 0.0% | 15 | 9.8% |
| 2016 | 24 | ARI | 15 | 0* | 471 | 43.3% | — | 0.0% | 10 | 8.0% |
| 2017 | 25 | ARI | 16 | 0* | 537 | 48.4% | — | 0.0% | 17 | 10.6% |
| 2018 | 26 | ARI | 14 | 0* | 213 | 25.4% | — | 0.0% | 1 | 3.0% |
| 2019 | 27 | OAK | 2 | — | 52 | 44.5% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Career | 58 | 1,421 | — | — | — | 43 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced (EPA)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | — | — | 0* | — | -0.6 | 7.4 | 0 | 605 |
| 2016 | 24 | — | — | 0* | — | 6.4 | 18.9 | 0 | 1,249 |
| 2017 | 25 | — | — | 0* | — | 2.5 | -11.6 | 0 | 1,051 |
| 2018 | 26 | — | — | 0* | — | -1.9 | -12.3 | 0 | 358 |
| 2019 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | -0.4 | 0 | 26 |
| Career | — | — | — | 0 | 3,289 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Rushing (2018+)
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Receiving (2018+)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | ADOT | YBC/R | YAC/R | BrkTkl | Drops | Drop% | 1D | TgtRate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 26 | ARI | 14 | 0* | 18.8 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 4 | 7.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | LV | 2 | — | 5.2 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 136.2 |
| Career | 16 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
KV-H Anatomy
KV-H 49 · SolidA solid career by KV-H: a well-rounded profile that scores 49 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 4 scored seasons, with a short career trimming the score.
52
Sustained
career value
×.6
55
Peak
best 3 seasons
×.4
×0.93
Longevity
career length
Blend 53.2 × longevity 0.93 = KV-H 49· confidence 100%
What builds the career mark of 52
On-field 35.9
Availability 16.1
On-field production Staying available
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
2015bestavg 502018
All-Time Standing
how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position10
Depth
of 100
Reached 6% of the all-time Receiving Yards leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
6% of the all-time Receiving Yards leader6
0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0
1.69 EPA/season over 5 seasons51
A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 92%.
Per-Snap Impact
Wide Receivers · proprietary · 2012+58
Above average
SIS
Yards/snap1.122Touch rate0.139EPA/snap0.006Snap share36.3%Off snaps1,421VolatileCV 0.55
Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within wide receivers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).
Career Aging Trajectory
vs. position group average · KV-H basisAmber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average wide receivers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
Combine · 2015
Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.
4.28s
40-Yard
Elite · 99th pct
Pos 99thAll 99thClass Pos 98thClass All 99th
36"
Vertical
Above avg · 51th pct
Pos 51thAll 73thClass Pos 35thClass All 67th
127"
Broad Jump
Strong · 81th pct
Pos 81thAll 91thClass Pos 85thClass All 93th
7.02s
3-Cone
Below avg · 36th pct
Pos 36thAll 67thClass Pos 23thClass All 67th
4.15s
Shuttle
Above avg · 66th pct
Pos 66thAll 81thClass Pos 55thClass All 76th
Postseason Career
2 playoff gamesReceiving
Tgt4Rec3Yds33Ctch%75.0%Y/R11.0Y/Tgt8.31D2
Advanced (EPA)
Rec EPA2.6Rec AirYd84
College stats are not imported for this profile yet.
StatVault has the verified college attribution (UAB), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.
Reference Graph
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.
Top Teammates
Josh MauroDE5yLarry FitzgeraldWR4yPatrick PetersonCB4yJermaine GreshamTE4yMarkus GoldenLB4yDavid JohnsonRB4yDeone BucannonOLB4yMike IupatiG4yRodney GunterDE4yCarson PalmerQB3yTyrann MathieuFS3yChandler JonesDE3yFrostee RuckerDE3yCorey PetersDE3yBenson MayowaOLB3yChris JohnsonRB3yJustin BethelCB3yD.J. HumphriesOT3yJohn BrownWR3yA.Q. ShipleyC3yJaron BrownWR3yJared VeldheerOT3yAndre EllingtonRB3yEarl WatfordG3y
2015 Draft Class· this player went #159
Similar Players
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).
Movementderived from season history
- 2019team change
Joined LV (from ARI)
- 2019final season
Last recorded season with LV
- 2015draft
Drafted by ARI — Round 5, Pick 159
Athletic & Unique Profile
verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts5'10" / 160 lb
Frame
156 lb at 4.28s
Size-speed
36" vert / 127" broad
Explosion
Injury History
3 career games missed (Out)From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.
| Season | Team | Games Out | Designations |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | OAK | 1 | W1Questionable· AnkleW2Out· AnkleW5Questionable· Knee |
| 2018 | ARI | 0 | W16Questionable· Illness / Not Injury Related |
| 2017 | ARI | 0 | W3Questionable· HamstringW4Questionable· HamstringW5Questionable· Hamstring / ToothW14Questionable· Knee |
| 2016 | ARI | 0 | W2Questionable· Shoulder |
| 2015 | ARI | 2 | W3Out· ShoulderW4Out· ShoulderW5Questionable· Shoulder |
Knox
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →
Historical Knox · KV-H
Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 4-season peers. See all →
49
peak 55
Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season
C2015
C+2016
C+2017
D2018
Availability
Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 5 seasons.
73%
Era Translator
Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Rec Yds | Rec Yds/G | → 2025 Rec Yds | → 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 299 | 33.2 | 441+142 | 25.9 |
| 2016 | 568 | 40.6 | 588+20 | 34.6 |
| 2017 | 508 | 31.8 | 434-74 | 25.5 |
| 2018 | 64 | 7.1 | 0-64 | 0 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026
Career Value · VORP
20 career value over replacement — #3102 all-time of 4,642. 5/season above a replacement-level WR.
Draft OutcomeValue ↑
Pick #159 (Rd 5) · ARI · 2015 · +17.1 vs expected KV-H
49actual
31.9 expected · Δ+17.1
Fan Rating
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