Dan Arnold is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Arnold in the top half of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Arnold's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Dan Arnold
Height6'6"
Weight220 lb
BornMar 15, 1995
Age31
ConferenceWisconsin Intercollegiate Athletic
Rookie yr2017
A quality tight end with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 38 · #2383 · Role PlayerWorth 38 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 52% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 2 of 5 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +19 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
2 cleared
3 replaced
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
46
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
2
Seasons over
cleared the bar
×
+19
Avg surplus
peak +20
2 seasons × ~19 surplus ≈ VORP 38
Combined Season Grid
The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.
4 grids split in one view
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Snap Counts | Advanced (EPA) | Advanced Receiving (2018+) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd | ADOT | YBC/R | YAC/R | BrkTkl | Drops | Drop% | 1D | TgtRate | |||||
| 2018 | — | NO | 7 | — | 19 | 12 | 150 | 1 | 63.2% | 12.5 | 7.9 | — | 9 | 141 | 21.7% | — | 0.0% | 6 | 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — | 10.8 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 9 | 83.2 |
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -0.6 | 0 | 205 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | ARI | 5 | — | 14 | 8 | 127 | 2 | 57.1% | 15.9 | 9.1 | — | 6 | 104 | 29.6% | — | 0.0% | 29 | 19.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.7 | 0 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | — | 2TM | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.0 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 127.1 |
| 2020 | — | ARI | 14 | — | 45 | 31 | 438 | 4 | 68.9% | 14.1 | 9.7 | — | 24 | 469 | 41.7% | — | 0.0% | 69 | 19.6% | — | — | — | — | — | 12.6 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 24 | 120.4 |
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25.7 | 0 | 565 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | JAX | 10 | — | 52 | 35 | 408 | 0 | 67.3% | 11.7 | 7.8 | — | 20 | 363 | 50.4% | — | 0.0% | 25 | 17.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.5 | 0 | 340 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | 2TM | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 20 | 90.9 |
| 2022 | — | JAX | 10 | — | 13 | 9 | 135 | 0 | 69.2% | 15.0 | 10.4 | — | 5 | 167 | 15.5% | — | 0.0% | 123 | 29.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.3 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 5 | 103.0 |
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.8 | 0 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 62 | — | 143 | 95 | 1,258 | 7 | 66.4% | 13.2 | 8.8 | — | 64 | 1,244 | 31.8% | — | 0.0% | 252 | 18.6% | — | — | 42.2 | 0 | 1,379 | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | — | 64 | — | |
Career EPA42.2·42 receiving·8.4/season
Receiving
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | VAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | NO | 7 | 0* | 19 | 12 | 150 | 1 | 63.2% | 12.5 | 7.9 | — | 9 | 4 |
| 2019 | 24 | ARI | 5 | 0* | 14 | 8 | 127 | 2 | 57.1% | 15.9 | 9.1 | — | 6 | 4 |
| 2020 | 25 | ARI | 14 | 0* | 45 | 31 | 438 | 4 | 68.9% | 14.1 | 9.7 | — | 24 | 10.3 |
| 2021 | 26 | JAX | 10 | 6* | 52 | 35 | 408 | 0 | 67.3% | 11.7 | 7.8 | — | 20 | 6.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | JAX | 10 | 0* | 13 | 9 | 135 | 0 | 69.2% | 15.0 | 10.4 | — | 5 | 3.2 |
| Career | 46 | 6* | 143 | 95 | 1,258 | 7 | 66.4% | 13.2 | 8.8 | — | 64 | 27.9 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Snap Counts
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | NO | 10 | 0* | 141 | 21.7% | — | 0.0% | 6 | 8.0% |
| 2019 | 24 | ARI | 5 | 0* | 104 | 29.6% | — | 0.0% | 29 | 19.2% |
| 2020 | 25 | ARI | 16 | 0* | 469 | 41.7% | — | 0.0% | 69 | 19.6% |
| 2021 | 26 | JAX | 11 | 6* | 363 | 50.4% | — | 0.0% | 25 | 17.2% |
| 2022 | 27 | JAX | 17 | 0* | 167 | 15.5% | — | 0.0% | 123 | 29.2% |
| Career | 59 | 6* | 1,244 | — | — | — | 252 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced (EPA)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | — | — | 0* | — | — | -0.6 | 0 | 205 |
| 2019 | 24 | — | — | 0* | — | — | 7.7 | 0 | 182 |
| 2020 | 25 | — | — | 0* | — | — | 25.7 | 0 | 565 |
| 2021 | 26 | — | — | 6* | — | — | 3.5 | 0 | 340 |
| 2022 | 27 | — | — | 0* | — | — | 5.8 | 0 | 87 |
| Career | 6* | — | — | — | 0 | 1,379 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Receiving (2018+)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | ADOT | YBC/R | YAC/R | BrkTkl | Drops | Drop% | 1D | TgtRate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | NO | 10 | 0* | 10.8 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 9 | 83.2 |
| 2019 | 24 | 2TM | 5 | 0* | 13.0 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 6 | 127.1 |
| 2020 | 25 | ARI | 16 | 0* | 12.6 | 8.5 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 24 | 120.4 |
| 2021 | 26 | 2TM | 11 | 6* | 6.5 | 6.3 | 5.4 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 20 | 90.9 |
| 2022 | 27 | JAX | 17 | 0* | 6.3 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.1 | 5 | 103.0 |
| Career | 59 | 6* | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | — | 64 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
KV-H Anatomy
KV-H 55 · Strong StarterA strong starter career by KV-H: a well-rounded profile that scores 55 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 5 scored seasons.
53
Sustained
career value
×.6
58
Peak
best 3 seasons
×.4
×1
Longevity
career length
Blend 55 × longevity 1 = KV-H 55· confidence 90%
What builds the career mark of 53
On-field 41
Availability 12
On-field production Staying available
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
2018bestavg 492022
All-Time Standing
how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position10
Depth
of 100
Reached 6% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
6% of the all-time Receptions leader6
0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0
8.44 EPA/season over 5 seasons53
A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 87%.
Per-Snap Impact
Tight Ends · proprietary · 2012+69
Above average
SIS
Yards/snap1.011Touch rate0.115EPA/snap0.034Snap share31.8%Off snaps1,244ConsistentCV 0.14
Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within tight ends, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).
Career Aging Trajectory
vs. position group average · KV-H basisAmber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average tight ends aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
Postseason Career
1 playoff gameReceiving
Tgt2
Advanced (EPA)
Rec EPA-2.0Rec AirYd35
College stats are not imported for this profile yet.
StatVault has the verified college attribution (Wisconsin-Platteville), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.
Reference Graph
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.
Top Teammates
Corey PetersDE3yChristian KirkWR3yChris BanjoDB3yLarry FitzgeraldWR2yAndy LeeP2yPatrick PetersonCB2yChandler JonesDE2yMarvin JonesWR2yTyler ShatleyC2yHaason ReddickOLB2yJustin PughG2yChris ManhertzTE2yBudda BakerS2yRayshawn JenkinsSAF2yJordan HicksMLB2yLogan CookeP2yTrent SherfieldWR2yDawuane SmootDE2yRoy Robertson-HarrisDE2yMax GarciaG2yAdam GotsisDE2yCam RobinsonOT2yShaquill GriffinCB2yJawaan TaylorOT2y
Similar Players
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).
Movementderived from season history
- 2022final season
Last recorded season with JAX
- 2021team change
Joined JAX (from ARI)
- 2019team change
Joined ARI (from NO)
- 2018signing
Entered the NFL with NO
Athletic & Unique Profile
verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts6'6" / 220 lb
Frame
Injury History
From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.
| Season | Team | Games Out | Designations |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | ARI | 0 | W16Questionable· Back |
Knox
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →
Historical Knox · KV-H
Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 5-season peers. See all →
55
peak 58
Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season
C2018
D2019
B2020
B2021
C2022
Availability
Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 5 seasons.
72%
Era Translator
Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Rec Yds | Rec Yds/G | → 2025 Rec Yds | → 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 150 | 21.4 | 367+217 | 21.6 |
| 2019 | 127 | 25.4 | 466+339 | 27.4 |
| 2020 | 438 | 31.3 | 580+142 | 34.1 |
| 2021 | 408 | 40.8 | 757+349 | 44.5 |
| 2022 | 135 | 13.5 | 237+102 | 13.9 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026
Career Value · VORP
38 career value over replacement — #2383 all-time of 4,642. 7.6/season above a replacement-level TE.
Fan Rating
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