Hayden Hurst is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Hurst in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Hurst's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Hayden Hurst
Height6'4"
Weight245 lb
BornAug 24, 1993
Age32
ConferenceSoutheastern
Rookie yr2018
Draft2018 · Rd 1, Pick 25 · BAL
A quality tight end with a top 30% among starters — a legitimate starter who contributed meaningfully across their career.
Career Value · VORP
VORP 63 · #1757 · Above AverageWorth 63 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 39% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 6 of 7 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +10.5 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
6 cleared
Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit
46
Replacement
the KC-H bar
→
6
Seasons over
cleared the bar
×
+10.5
Avg surplus
peak +25
6 seasons × ~10.5 surplus ≈ VORP 63
Combined Season Grid
The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.
4 grids split in one view
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Rushing | Defense | Snap Counts | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | |||||
| 2018 | — | BAL | 9 | — | 23 | 13 | 163 | 1 | 56.5% | 12.5 | 7.1 | — | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 275 | 31.4% | — | 0.0% | 31 | 12.9% |
| 2019 | — | BAL | 16 | — | 39 | 30 | 349 | 2 | 76.9% | 11.6 | 8.9 | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 457 | 41.9% | — | 0.0% | 45 | 13.5% |
| 2020 | — | ATL | 16 | — | 88 | 56 | 571 | 6 | 63.6% | 10.2 | 6.5 | — | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 786 | 69.9% | — | 0.0% | 19 | 11.4% |
| 2020 | — | LV | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | — | ATL | 12 | — | 31 | 26 | 221 | 3 | 83.9% | 8.5 | 7.1 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 410 | 49.5% | — | 0.0% | 9 | 8.8% |
| 2021 | — | NYJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | — | CIN | 13 | — | 68 | 52 | 414 | 2 | 76.5% | 8.0 | 6.1 | — | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 545 | 61.4% | — | 0.0% | 61 | 16.7% |
| 2022 | — | PIT | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | — | CAR | 9 | — | 32 | 18 | 184 | 1 | 56.3% | 10.2 | 5.8 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 318 | 50.7% | — | 0.0% | 25 | 14.7% |
| 2023 | — | IND | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | — | LAC | 7 | — | 13 | 8 | 73 | 0 | 61.5% | 9.1 | 5.6 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 174 | 33.1% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Career | — | 86 | — | 294 | 203 | 1,975 | 15 | 69.0% | 9.7 | 6.7 | — | 104 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | 2,965 | 48.3% | — | 0.0% | 190 | 13.0% | |
Career EPA57.8·-1 rushing · 58 receiving·8.3/season
Rushing
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Receiving
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | BAL | 9 | 0* | 23 | 13 | 163 | 1 | 56.5% | 12.5 | 7.1 | — | 8 |
| 2019 | 26 | BAL | 16 | 0* | 39 | 30 | 349 | 2 | 76.9% | 11.6 | 8.9 | — | 16 |
| 2020 | 27 | ATL | 16 | 11* | 88 | 56 | 571 | 6 | 63.6% | 10.2 | 6.5 | — | 35 |
| 2021 | 28 | ATL | 12 | 0* | 31 | 26 | 221 | 3 | 83.9% | 8.5 | 7.1 | — | 11 |
| 2022 | 29 | CIN | 13 | 8* | 68 | 52 | 414 | 2 | 76.5% | 8.0 | 6.1 | — | 25 |
| 2023 | 30 | CAR | 9 | 5* | 32 | 18 | 184 | 1 | 56.3% | 10.2 | 5.8 | — | 7 |
| 2024 | 31 | LAC | 7 | 0* | 13 | 8 | 73 | 0 | 61.5% | 9.1 | 5.6 | — | 2 |
| Career | 82 | 24* | 294 | 203 | 1,975 | 15 | 69.0% | 9.7 | 6.7 | — | 104 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Defense
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 27 | LV | 1 | 1* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | 28 | NYJ | 1 | 0* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | 29 | PIT | 1 | 1* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 30 | IND | 1 | 1* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 4 | 3* | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Snap Counts
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | BAL | 12 | 0* | 275 | 31.4% | — | 0.0% | 31 | 12.9% |
| 2019 | 26 | BAL | 16 | 0* | 457 | 41.9% | — | 0.0% | 45 | 13.5% |
| 2020 | 27 | ATL | 16 | 11* | 786 | 69.9% | — | 0.0% | 19 | 11.4% |
| 2021 | 28 | ATL | 13 | 0* | 410 | 49.5% | — | 0.0% | 9 | 8.8% |
| 2022 | 29 | CIN | 13 | 8* | 545 | 61.4% | — | 0.0% | 61 | 16.7% |
| 2023 | 30 | CAR | 9 | 5* | 318 | 50.7% | — | 0.0% | 25 | 14.7% |
| 2024 | 31 | LAC | 9 | 0* | 174 | 33.1% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Career | 88 | 24* | 2,965 | — | — | — | 190 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced (EPA)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Pass EPA | Rush EPA | Rec EPA | Pass AirYd | Rec AirYd |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | — | — | 0* | — | -0.6 | 3.9 | 0 | 165 |
| 2019 | 26 | — | — | 0* | — | — | 24.2 | 0 | 330 |
| 2020 | 27 | — | — | 11* | — | — | 15.6 | 0 | 594 |
| 2021 | 28 | — | — | 0* | — | — | 2.6 | 0 | 205 |
| 2022 | 29 | — | — | 8* | — | — | 20.7 | 0 | 340 |
| 2023 | 30 | — | — | 5* | — | — | -3.8 | 0 | 242 |
| 2024 | 31 | — | — | 0* | — | — | -4.8 | 0 | 62 |
| Career | 24* | — | — | — | 0 | 1,938 |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Rushing (2018+)
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
Advanced Receiving (2018+)
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | ADOT | YBC/R | YAC/R | BrkTkl | Drops | Drop% | 1D | TgtRate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | BAL | 12 | 0* | 7.2 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 8 | 93.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | BAL | 16 | 0* | 8.5 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 16 | 120.6 |
| 2020 | 27 | ATL | 16 | 11* | 6.8 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 35 | 95.4 |
| 2021 | 28 | ATL | 13 | 0* | 6.6 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 11 | 115.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | CIN | 13 | 8* | 4.9 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 26 | 94.9 |
| 2023 | 30 | CAR | 9 | 5* | 7.6 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1 | 2 | 0.1 | 7 | 57.3 |
| 2024 | 31 | LAC | 9 | 0* | 4.8 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | 76.8 |
| Career | 88 | 24* | — | — | — | 12 | 10 | — | 105 | — |
* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)
KV-H Anatomy
KV-H 59 · Strong StarterA strong starter career by KV-H: a peak-driven profile that scores 59 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 7 scored seasons.
56
Sustained
career value
×.6
64
Peak
best 3 seasons
×.4
×1
Longevity
career length
Blend 59.2 × longevity 1 = KV-H 59· confidence 98%
What builds the career mark of 56
On-field 40.7
Availability 15.3
On-field production Staying available
Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)
2018bestavg 53elite 702024
All-Time Standing
how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position16
Depth
of 100
Reached 13% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
13% of the all-time Receptions leader13
0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0
8.26 EPA/season over 7 seasons53
A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 90%.
Per-Snap Impact
Tight Ends · proprietary · 2012+56
Above average
SIS
Yards/snap0.666Touch rate0.099EPA/snap0.02Snap share48.3%Off snaps2,965ConsistentCV 0.19
Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within tight ends, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).
Career Aging Trajectory
vs. position group average · KV-H basisAmber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average tight ends aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
Combine · 2018
Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.
4.67s
40-Yard
Above avg · 68th pct
Pos 68thAll 48thClass Pos 80thClass All 44th
31.5"
Vertical
Below avg · 27th pct
Pos 27thAll 31thClass Pos 45thClass All 34th
120"
Broad Jump
Above avg · 74th pct
Pos 74thAll 64thClass Pos 65thClass All 61th
7.19s
3-Cone
Below avg · 36th pct
Pos 36thAll 46thClass Pos 15thClass All 38th
4.37s
Shuttle
Below avg · 42th pct
Pos 42thAll 45thClass Pos 45thClass All 48th
Playoff vs Regular Season
🏆 Playoff Performer
Yards / Reception: 9.7 regular season → 11.4 playoffs (3 playoff seasons)
+17%
vs reg season
Postseason Career
5 playoff gamesReceiving
Tgt24Rec17Yds194TD2Ctch%70.8%Y/R11.4Y/Tgt8.11D10
Defense
Tkl1Solo1
Advanced (EPA)
Rec EPA6.7Rec AirYd199
College stats are not imported for this profile yet.
StatVault has the verified college attribution (South Carolina), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.
Reference Graph
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.
Top Teammates
Bradley BozemanC4yJosh HarrisLS3yDeion JonesLB3yTony JeffersonS3yChris WormleyNT3yGus EdwardsRB3yMatt RyanQB2ySam KochP2yMorgan CoxLS2yJake MatthewsOT2yBrandon CarrCB2yGrady JarrettDT2yDante Fowler Jr.DE2yJustin TuckerK2yJames HurstG2yMatthew JudonOLB2yVonn BellS2yFoye OluokunLB2yMarlon HumphreyCB2yKeith SmithFB2yMark AndrewsTE2yPatrick RicardRB2yChris MooreWR2yLamar JacksonQB2y
2018 Draft Class· this player went #25
Franchise Succession
the room, before and afterHayden inherited the Atlanta Falcons TE room from Austin Hooper (2016–2019), and handed it to Kyle Pitts (2021–2025).
Similar Players
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).
Movementderived from season history
- 2024team change
Joined LAC (from CAR)
- 2024final season
Last recorded season with LAC
- 2023team change
Joined CAR (from CIN)
- 2022team change
Joined CIN (from ATL)
- 2020team change
Joined ATL (from BAL)
- 2018draft
Drafted by BAL — Round 1, Pick 25
Athletic & Unique Profile
verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts6'4" / 245 lb
Frame
250 lb at 4.67s
Size-speed
31.5" vert / 120" broad
Explosion
Injury History
12 career games missed (Out)From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.
| Season | Team | Games Out | Designations |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | LAC | 1 | W7Doubtful· GroinW8Questionable· GroinW12Out· HipW16Questionable· HipW17Questionable· Illness |
| 2023 | CAR | 5 | W11Out· ConcussionW12Out· ConcussionW13Out· ConcussionW14Out· ConcussionW15Out· Concussion |
| 2022 | CIN | 2 | W3Questionable· GroinW5Questionable· GroinW6Questionable· GroinW14Out· CalfW15Out· CalfW16Questionable· Calf |
| 2021 | ATL | 1 | W11Out· Ankle |
| 2020 | ATL | 0 | W12Questionable· Ankle |
| 2018 | BAL | 3 | W1Out· FootW2Out· FootW3Out· FootW4Questionable· FootW5Questionable· Foot |
Knox
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →
Historical Knox · KV-H
Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 7-season peers. See all →
59
peak 64
Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season
C2018
C+2019
B+2020
C+2021
B2022
C2023
D2024
Availability
Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 7 seasons.
76%
Era Translator
Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Rec Yds | Rec Yds/G | → 2025 Rec Yds | → 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 163 | 18.1 | 303+140 | 17.8 |
| 2019 | 349 | 21.8 | 394+45 | 23.2 |
| 2020 | 571 | 35.7 | 665+94 | 39.1 |
| 2021 | 221 | 18.4 | 332+111 | 19.5 |
| 2022 | 414 | 31.8 | 572+158 | 33.7 |
| 2023 | 184 | 20.4 | 364+180 | 21.4 |
| 2024 | 73 | 10.4 | 185+112 | 10.9 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026
Career Value · VORP
63 career value over replacement — #1757 all-time of 4,642. 9/season above a replacement-level TE.
Draft OutcomeValue ↑
Pick #25 (Rd 1) · BAL · 2018 · +4.1 vs expected KV-H
59actual
54.9 expected · Δ+4.1
Fan Rating
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