Also in other sports:nhlJohn Carlson (D · 2010–present).

John Carlson is a career quality starter — a tight end whose body of work places Carlson in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Carlson's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.

TEARI#89ACT

John Carlson

Top 20% all-time TEsElite Playmaker📉 Fades · -26% playoffs 🌅 Early Bloomer · 2008Two-Way ProfileTeam Carrier · #510

Height6'5"

Weight248 lb

BornMay 12, 1984

Age42

CollegeNotre Dame See College Stats

Rookie yr2008

Draft2008 · Rd 2, Pick 38 · SEA

Career Value · VORP

VORP 79 · #1442 · Above Average

Worth 79 points of value above a freely-available replacement tight end — top 32% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 5 of 6 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +15.8 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

5 cleared

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

Seasons over

cleared the bar

+15.8

Avg surplus

peak +26

5 seasons × ~15.8 surplus ≈ VORP 79

Combined Season Grid

The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.

4 grids split in one view

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Receiving									Defense													Snap Counts						Advanced (EPA)
Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	Tkl	Solo	Ast	TFL	QBHits	Sk	Dis	Int	PD	FF	FR	TD	Sfty	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Pass AirYd	Rec AirYd
2008	—	SEA	15	—	55	55	627	5	100.0%	11.4	11.4	—	36	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	—	ARI	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	6	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	1	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	58.0	0	400
2009	—	SEA	16	—	83	51	574	7	61.4%	11.3	6.9	—	27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	—	TB	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	3	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	25.6	0	603
2010	—	SEA	14	—	58	31	318	1	53.4%	10.3	5.5	—	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	—	KC	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	-15.8	0	480
2012	—	MIN	9	—	14	8	43	0	57.1%	5.4	3.1	—	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	-4.2	0	70
2013	—	MIN	13	—	47	32	344	1	68.1%	10.8	7.3	—	19	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	497	55.6%	—	0.0%	87	28.7%	—	—	—	—	—
2013	—	SEA	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8.9	0	327
2014	—	ARI	16	—	55	33	350	1	60.0%	10.6	6.4	—	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	733	69.5%	—	0.0%	47	12.8%	—	—	—	—	—
2014	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	-8.9	0	386
Career		—	95	—	312	210	2,256	15	67.3%	10.7	7.2	—	115	13	13	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	1	—	0	0	1,230	62.6%	—	0.0%	134	20.8%	—	—	63.6	0	2,266

Career EPA63.6·64 receiving·10.6/season

Receiving

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	VAL
2008	24	SEA	15	—	55	55	627	5	100.0%	11.4	11.4	—	36	14.9
2009	25	SEA	16	—	83	51	574	7	61.4%	11.3	6.9	—	27	15.8
2010	26	SEA	14	—	58	31	318	1	53.4%	10.3	5.5	—	12	7.6
2012	28	MIN	9	—	14	8	43	0	57.1%	5.4	3.1	—	4	2.7
2013	29	MIN	13	7*	47	32	344	1	68.1%	10.8	7.3	—	19	6.7
2014	30	ARI	16	11*	55	33	350	1	60.0%	10.6	6.4	—	17	7.6
Career			83	18*	312	210	2,256	15	67.3%	10.7	7.2	—	115	55.3

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Defense

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tkl	Solo	Sk	Dis	FF	FR
2008	24	ARI	5	—	6	6	0.0	0.0	1	—
2009	25	TB	3	—	3	3	0.0	0.0	0	—
2010	26	KC	2	—	2	2	0.0	0.0	0	—
2013	29	SEA	2	2*	2	2	0.0	0.0	0	—
Career			12	2*	13	13	—	—	1	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Snap Counts

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2013	29	MIN	13	7*	497	55.6%	—	0.0%	87	28.7%
2014	30	ARI	16	11*	733	69.5%	—	0.0%	47	12.8%
Career			29	18*	1,230	—	—	—	134	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced (EPA)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Rec AirYd
2008	24	—	—	—	—	—	58.0	400
2009	25	—	—	—	—	—	25.6	603
2010	26	—	—	—	—	—	-15.8	480
2012	28	—	—	—	—	—	-4.2	70
2013	29	—	—	7*	—	—	8.9	327
2014	30	—	—	11*	—	—	-8.9	386
Career				18*	—	—	—	2,266

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

KV-H Anatomy

KV-H 62 · Strong Starter

A strong starter career by KV-H: a peak-driven profile that scores 62 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 6 scored seasons.

Sustained

career value

×.6

Peak

best 3 seasons

×.4

×1

Longevity

career length

Blend 61.4 × longevity 1 = KV-H 62· confidence 100%

What builds the career mark of 59

On-field 41.3

Availability 17.7

On-field production Staying available

Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)

2008bestavg 58elite 702014

Team Carrier Evidence

Ranked #510 of 600 by seasons where high individual production happened on low-win teams. Score aggregates only tracked StatVault categories.

Full board

Total Score

1 qualifying season

2009 SEA·5 team wins#22

Receiving Touchdowns · 7 · score 8

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

Depth

of 100

Reached 14% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.

14% of the all-time Receptions leader14

0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0

10.6 EPA/season over 6 seasons54

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 90%.

Per-Snap Impact

Tight Ends · proprietary · 2012+

Solid

SIS

Yards / snap:0.564 ydsSee leaderboard →

Yards/snap0.564Touch rate0.083EPA/snap0Snap share62.6%Off snaps1,230Emerging

Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within tight ends, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).

Career Aging Trajectory

vs. position group average · KV-H basis

Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average tight ends aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).

Combine · 2008

Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.

TE · 2008 class

4.88s

40-Yard

Low · 14th pct

Pos 14thAll 28thClass Pos 3thClass All 27th

30.5"

Vertical

Low · 16th pct

Pos 16thAll 24thClass Pos 54thClass All 48th

113"

Broad Jump

Below avg · 29th pct

Pos 29thAll 35thClass Pos 21thClass All 41th

20 reps

Bench

Below avg · 46th pct

Pos 46thAll 44thClass Pos 43thClass All 37th

7.12s

3-Cone

Below avg · 48th pct

Pos 48thAll 54thClass Pos 29thClass All 54th

4.28s

Shuttle

Above avg · 65th pct

Pos 65thAll 60thClass Pos 54thClass All 69th

Playoff vs Regular Season

📉 Regular Season Player

Yards / Reception: 10.7 regular season → 8.0 playoffs (3 playoff seasons)

-26%

vs reg season

Postseason Career

4 playoff games

Receiving

Tgt10Rec7Yds56TD2Ctch%70.0%Y/R8.0Y/Tgt5.61D3

Advanced (EPA)

Rec EPA2.8Rec AirYd75

College Stats

Notre DameCollege listed; stat table pending import

College stats are not imported for this profile yet.

StatVault has the verified college attribution (Notre Dame), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.

Reference Graph

Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.

2008 Draft Class· this player went #38

#30Dustin KellerTE #31Kenny PhillipsFS #32Phillip MerlingDE #33Donnie AveryWR #34Devin ThomasWR #35Brandon FlowersCB #36Jordy NelsonWR #37Curtis LoftonMLB #39Chilo RachalG #41James HardyWR #42Eddie RoyalWR #43Tyrell JohnsonDB #44Matt ForteRB #45Jordon DizonOLB #46Jerome SimpsonWR #47Trevor LawsDT

Similar Players

Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).

Movementderived from season history

2014team change
Joined ARI (from MIN)
2014final season
Last recorded season with ARI
2012team change
Joined MIN (from SEA)
2008draft
Drafted by SEA — Round 2, Pick 38

Athletic & Unique Profile

verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts

6'5" / 248 lb

Frame

251 lb at 4.88s

Size-speed

30.5" vert / 113" broad

Explosion

20 reps

Bench power

Injury History

3 career games missed (Out)

From nflverse weekly injury reports · coverage begins 2009.

Season	Team	Games Out	Designations
2014	ARI	0	W7Questionable· KneeW17Questionable· Calf
2013	MIN	1	W15Out· ConcussionW16Doubtful· Concussion
2012	MIN	2	W8Out· ConcussionW9Out· Concussion
2010	SEA	0	W13Questionable· Hip

Era Translator

Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Rec Yds	Rec Yds/G	→ 2025 Rec Yds	→ 2025 /G
2008	627	41.8	739+112	43.5
2009	574	35.9	592+18	34.8
2010	318	22.7	369+51	21.7
2012	43	4.8	86+43	5
2013	344	26.5	424+80	24.9
2014	350	21.9	353+3	20.7

Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026

Career Value · VORP

79 career value over replacement — #1442 all-time of 4,642. 13.2/season above a replacement-level TE.

Draft OutcomeValue ↑

Pick #38 (Rd 2) · SEA · 2008 · +12.2 vs expected KV-H

62actual

49.8 expected · Δ+12.2

Fan Rating

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Career Value · VORP

Combined Season Grid

Receiving

Defense

Snap Counts

Advanced (EPA)

KV-H Anatomy

Team Carrier Evidence

All-Time Standing

Per-Snap Impact

Career Aging Trajectory

Combine · 2008

Postseason Career

Receiving

Advanced (EPA)

College Stats

Reference Graph

Top Teammates

2008 Draft Class· this player went #38

Similar Players

Movementderived from season history

Athletic & Unique Profile

Injury History

Era Translator

Knox

Franchise Succession

Archetype Intelligence

Career Geography