Zay Flowers is a career quality starter — a receiver whose body of work places Flowers in the top quarter of all players at the position historically. The Knox model values sustained contribution over flash, and Flowers's career arc reflects exactly that kind of reliable professional-grade performance.
Season totals or exact team stints. Career totals count each season once.
| Season | Age | Team | G | GS | Receiving | Rushing | Snap Counts | Defense | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | Ctch% | Y/R | Y/Tgt | AirYd/T | 1D | Att | Yds | TD | Y/A | TD% | 1D | 1D% | Fmb | Off | Off% | Def | Def% | ST | ST% | Tkl | Solo | Ast | TFL | QBHits | Sk | Dis | Int | PD | FF | FR | TD | Sfty | |||||
| 2023 | 22–23 | BAL | 16 | — | 108 | 77 | 858 | 5 | 71.3% | 11.1 | 7.9 | — | 41 | 8 | 56 | 1 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 1 | 12.5 | 0 | 905 | 84.3% | — | 0.0% | 7 | 1.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23–24 | BAL | 17 | — | 116 | 74 | 1,059 | 4 | 63.8% | 14.3 | 9.1 | — | 48 | 9 | 56 | 0 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 1 | 11.1 | 0 | 832 | 74.7% | — | 0.0% | 6 | 1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24–25 | BAL | 17 | — | 118 | 86 | 1,211 | 5 | 72.9% | 14.1 | 10.3 | — | 48 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 6.2 | 10.0 | 3 | 30.0 | 0 | 878 | 86.5% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 25–26 | BAL | 4 | — | 31 | 26 | 405 | 2 | 83.9% | 15.6 | 13.1 | — | 17 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 16.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 150 | 54.3% | — | 0.0% | — | 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 54 | — | 373 | 263 | 3,533 | 16 | 70.5% | 13.4 | 9.5 | — | 154 | 29 | 207 | 2 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 7 | 24.1 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 0 | |
Career Value · VORP
77 career value over replacement — #1525 all-time of 4,695. 25.7/season above a replacement-level WR.
Career Profile
Pick #22 (Rd 1) · BAL · 2023 · +6.7 vs expected KV-H
Fan Rating
Rate Zay Flowers — All-Time
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A top 20% all-time wide receiver who consistently made an impact across multiple seasons. Above-average snap-level impact reinforces the playmaking ability.
Worth 77 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 33% of all 4,695 ranked at the position. 3 of 3 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +25.7 on average.See board →
Seasons above replacement
3 seasons × ~25.7 surplus ≈ VORP 77
Ernest Givins
WR
90% match