Justin Hardy NFL Stats, Career Profile & VAL | StatVault | StatVault

Justin Hardy

WRATL#14ACT

Justin Hardy

Top 50% all-time WRsDurable Contributor📉 Fades · -30% playoffsTwo-Way Profile

Height5'10"

Weight192 lb

BornDec 18, 1991

Age34

CollegeEast Carolina See College Stats

ConferenceAmerican Athletic

Rookie yr2015

Draft2015 · Rd 4, Pick 107 · ATL

Archetype Intelligence

Durable ContributorExplore archetypes →

A wide receiver who maximized value through exceptional availability — almost never missed time. Their middle-tier career was extended by consistently being on the field.

Career Value · VORP

VORP 0 · #4423 · Role Player

Worth 0 points of value above a freely-available replacement receiver — top 96% of all 4,642 ranked at the position. 0 of 5 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +0 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

5 replaced

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

48

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

0

Seasons over

cleared the bar

×

+0

Avg surplus

peak +0

0 seasons × ~0 surplus ≈ VORP 0

Combined Season Grid

The full season-by-season grids, joined on one timeline. Every selected stat family stays visible at once—no tab hopping.

4 grids split in one view

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Receiving									Rushing								Defense													Snap Counts
Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D	Att	Yds	TD	Y/A	TD%	1D	1D%	Fmb	Tkl	Solo	Ast	TFL	QBHits	Sk	Dis	Int	PD	FF	FR	TD	Sfty	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2015	—	ATL	9	—	36	21	194	0	58.3%	9.2	5.4	—	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	337	54.8%	—	0.0%	64	32.1%
2015	—	CAR	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4	4	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	—	ATL	11	—	31	21	203	4	67.7%	9.7	6.5	—	17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	291	28.0%	—	0.0%	221	46.6%
2017	—	ATL	10	—	29	20	221	3	69.0%	11.1	7.6	—	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	381	36.4%	—	0.0%	191	44.8%
2018	—	ATL	8	—	22	14	133	2	63.6%	9.5	6.0	—	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	221	21.1%	—	0.0%	157	35.7%
2018	—	TB	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	—	ATL	11	—	26	19	195	0	73.1%	10.3	7.5	—	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	197	16.4%	—	0.0%	93	25.1%
Career		—	56	—	144	95	946	9	66.0%	10.0	6.6	—	59	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	6	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0	1,427	31.3%	—	0.0%	726	36.9%

Career EPA37.3·37 receiving·7.5/season

Rushing

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Att	Yds	TD	Y/A	TD%	1D	1D%	Fmb	VAL
No regular-season rushing rows are available in this profile artifact.

Receiving

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD	Ctch%	Y/R	Y/Tgt	AirYd/T	1D
2015	24	ATL	9	5*	36	21	194	0	58.3%	9.2	5.4	—	12
2016	25	ATL	11	0*	31	21	203	4	67.7%	9.7	6.5	—	17
2017	26	ATL	10	0*	29	20	221	3	69.0%	11.1	7.6	—	13
2018	27	ATL	8	0*	22	14	133	2	63.6%	9.5	6.0	—	8
2019	28	ATL	11	0*	26	19	195	0	73.1%	10.3	7.5	—	9
Career			49	5*	144	95	946	9	66.0%	10.0	6.6	—	59

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Defense

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Tkl	Solo	Ast	TFL	QBHits	Sk	Dis	Int	PD	FF	FR	TD	Sfty
2015	24	CAR	5	5*	4	4	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0
2016	25	ATL	4	0*	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0
2018	27	TB	2	0*	2	2	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0
2019	28	ATL	2	0*	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	0	0	0	—	0	0
Career			13	5*	6	6	0	0	0	—	—	0	0	0	—	0	0

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Snap Counts

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Off	Off%	Def	Def%	ST	ST%
2015	24	ATL	9	5*	337	54.8%	—	0.0%	64	32.1%
2016	25	ATL	16	0*	291	28.0%	—	0.0%	221	46.6%
2017	26	ATL	16	0*	381	36.4%	—	0.0%	191	44.8%
2018	27	ATL	16	0*	221	21.1%	—	0.0%	157	35.7%
2019	28	ATL	16	0*	197	16.4%	—	0.0%	93	25.1%
Career			73	5*	1,427	—	—	—	726	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced (EPA)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	Pass EPA	Rush EPA	Rec EPA	Pass AirYd	Rec AirYd
2015	24	—	—	5*	—	—	1.5	0	330
2016	25	—	—	0*	—	—	14.6	0	267
2017	26	—	—	0*	—	—	16.8	0	245
2018	27	—	—	0*	—	—	-0.1	0	132
2019	28	—	—	0*	—	—	4.4	0	199
Career				5*	—	—	—	0	1,173

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

Advanced Receiving (2018+)

Season	Age	Team	G	GS	ADOT	YBC/R	YAC/R	BrkTkl	Drops	Drop%	1D	TgtRate
2018	27	ATL	16	0*	6.3	4.4	5.1	1	1	0.0	8	91.7
2019	28	ATL	16	0*	7.7	6.0	4.3	0	2	0.1	9	94.2
Career			32		—	—	—	1	3	—	17	—

* GS not available from free sources — SG* estimated from snap share (nflverse 2012+)

KV-H Anatomy

KV-H 43 · Solid

A solid career by KV-H: a remarkably steady profile that scores 43 of 100, era-normalized against rec yds/g peers across 5 scored seasons.

43

Sustained

career value

×.6

44

Peak

best 3 seasons

×.4

×1

Longevity

career length

Blend 43.4 × longevity 1 = KV-H 43· confidence 100%

What builds the career mark of 43

On-field 30.5

Availability 12.5

On-field production Staying available

Season-by-season quality (era-relative rec yds/g)

2015bestavg 432019

All-Time Standing

how this career measures against the all-time greats at the position

10

Depth

of 100

Reached 6% of the all-time Receptions leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.

6% of the all-time Receptions leader6

0 categories ≥25% of the all-time leader0

7.45 EPA/season over 5 seasons52

A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leaderat this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 88%.

Per-Snap Impact

Wide Receivers · proprietary · 2012+

40

Solid

SIS

Yards / snap:0.663 ydsSee leaderboard →

Yards/snap0.663Touch rate0.101EPA/snap0.026Snap share31.3%Off snaps1,427ReliableCV 0.23

Production per snap — the box score normalized by opportunity. SIS is z-scored within wide receivers, shrinkage-regularized so small samples don't spike, over the NFL snap-count era (2012+).

Career Aging Trajectory

vs. position group average · KV-H basis

Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average wide receivers aging curve. Group peak age: 25. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).

Combine · 2015

Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.

WR · 2015 class

4.56s

40-Yard

Low · 22th pct

Pos 22thAll 66thClass Pos 12thClass All 72th

36.5"

Vertical

Above avg · 58th pct

Pos 58thAll 77thClass Pos 48thClass All 73th

114"

Broad Jump

Low · 7th pct

Pos 7thAll 38thClass Pos 6thClass All 38th

11 reps

Bench

Low · 18th pct

Pos 18thAll 5thClass Pos 22thClass All 4th

6.63s

3-Cone

Elite · 96th pct

Pos 96thAll 98thClass Pos 98thClass All 99th

4.21s

Shuttle

Below avg · 49th pct

Pos 49thAll 71thClass Pos 33thClass All 65th

Playoff vs Regular Season

📉 Regular Season Player

Yards / Reception: 10.0 regular season → 7.0 playoffs (2 playoff seasons)

-30%

vs reg season

Postseason Career

3 playoff games

Rushing

Att1

Receiving

Tgt4Rec3Yds21Ctch%75.0%Y/R7.0Y/Tgt5.31D2

Advanced (EPA)

Rush EPA-0.5Rec EPA0.8Rec AirYd40

College Stats

East CarolinaCollege listed; stat table pending import

College stats are not imported for this profile yet.

StatVault has the verified college attribution (East Carolina), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.

Reference Graph

Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.

2015 Draft Class· this player went #107

#99Paul DawsonLB #100Angelo BlacksonDE #101Trey FlowersLB #102Daryl WilliamsOT #103Bryce PettyQB #104James SampleS #105Jamison CrowderWR #106Jeremy LangfordRB #108Jalston FowlerRB #109Clayton GeathersS #110T.J. ClemmingsOT #111Tre JacksonG #112Arie KouandjioG #113Gabe WrightDT #114Jamil DouglasG #115Ibraheim CampbellDB

Franchise Succession

the room, before and after

Justin inherited the Atlanta Falcons WR room from Julio Jones (2011–2020), and handed it to Taylor Gabriel (2016–2017).

Stacey Bailey 1982–1990Charlie Brown 1985–1987Floyd Dixon 1986–1991Michael Haynes 1988–1997Shawn Collins 1989–1991George Thomas

Similar Players

Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).

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David Anderson

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Michael Campanaro

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River Cracraft

Movementderived from season history

2019final season
Last recorded season with ATL
2015draft
Drafted by ATL — Round 4, Pick 107

Athletic & Unique Profile

verified measurements and curated source-tagged facts

5'10" / 192 lb

Frame

192 lb at 4.56s

Size-speed

36.5" vert / 114" broad

Explosion

11 reps

Bench power

Injury History

No game-status injuries on record since 2009 (nflverse weekly reports).

Knox

StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →

Historical Knox · KV-H

Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 5-season peers. See all →

43

peak 44

Season Report Cards· KV-H era-normalized per season

C2015

C2016

C2017

D2018

C2019

Availability

Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 5 seasons.

91%

Era Translator

Rec Yds translated to the 2025NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.

Season	Actual Rec Yds	Rec Yds/G	→ 2025 Rec Yds	→ 2025 /G
2015	194	21.6	233+39	13.7
2016	203	18.5	192-11	11.3
2017	221	22.1	259+38	15.3
2018	133	16.6	140+7	8.2
2019	195	17.7	173-22	10.2

Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks, nflverse:advanced-epa (CC-BY 4.0), nflverse:injuries · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 6/18/2026

Career Value · VORP

0 career value over replacement — #4423 all-time of 4,642. 0/season above a replacement-level WR.

Draft OutcomeValue ↑

Pick #107 (Rd 4) · ATL · 2015 · +6.2 vs expected KV-H

43actual

36.8 expected · Δ+6.2

Fan Rating

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