J.J. Watt is building a case for Canton — a 74% HOF probability suggests his career already clears the historical enshrinement bar in most models. His overall career value places Watt in the top 1% of all pass rushers in the StatVault encyclopedia.

DEARI#99ACT

J.J. Watt

5× Pro Bowl5× All-ProTop 0% all-time pass rushersFranchise Cornerstone👑 #1 Edge Rusher · 2015 🌅 Early Bloomer · 2012Two-Way ProfileTeam Carrier · #76

Height6'5"

Weight288 lb

BornMar 22, 1989

Age37

CollegeWisconsin; Central Michigan See College Stats

ConferenceBig Ten

Rookie yr2011

Draft2011 · Rd 1, Pick 11 · HOU

All-Time Rank & Honors

career ranks, postseason ranks, awards, title context

Regular-season all-time ranks

26thSacks·114.5

Postseason all-time ranks

29thPlayoff Sacks·6

Pro Bowls

All-Pro

Season honors and record seasons

Led NFL2015·Sacks17.5

Career Value · VORP

318 career value over replacement — #106 all-time of 4,666. 28.9/season above a replacement-level EDGE.

Career Profile

Led league 2×5 top-10

Draft OutcomeSteal ↑

Pick #11 (Rd 1) · HOU · 2011 · +36.2 vs expected KV-H

97actual

60.8 expected · Δ+36.2

💔+75.8 stolen VORP·2.64 szns lost

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Compare J.J. Watt vs Player Report data error

Career Value · VORP

VORP 318 · #106 · All-Time

Worth 318 points of value above a freely-available replacement edge rusher — top 3% of all 4,666 ranked at the position. 9 of 11 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +35.3 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

9 cleared

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

Seasons over

cleared the bar

+35.3

Avg surplus

peak +48

9 seasons × ~35.3 surplus ≈ VORP 318

J.J. Watt

All-Time Rank & Honors

Archetype Intelligence

Career Value · VORP