Justin Herbert is one of the most consistent quarterbacks of his generation — a player whose career coefficient of variation places him among the most reliable performers at the position. Year in, year out, Herbert delivered without dramatic peaks or valleys — the kind of player who earns trust, not headlines.
Career Value · VORP
195 career value over replacement — #407 all-time of 4,695. 32.5/season above a replacement-level QB.
Pick #6 (Rd 1) · LAC · 2020 · +7.7 vs expected KV-H
Fan Rating
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Ranked #273 of 568 by seasons where high individual production happened on low-win teams. Score aggregates only tracked StatVault categories.
Reached 29% of the all-time Passing Yards leader — a rotational/depth all-time profile at the position.
A 0–100 scale where 100 = matched the all-time leader at this position. Built only from visible encyclopedia data — career production vs. the all-time leader, plus efficiency (EPA) and comparable-player confidence — so it's a transparent context score, not a subjective rating. Tiers: Elite ≥ 85 · Strong ≥ 65 · Solid ≥ 45 · Depth < 45. Comparable-player confidence: 88%.
StatVault aggregates multiple open-licensed and proprietary sources into a single profile. The depth indicator above shows which layers are available for this player.
Modern-era stats (1999+) come from nflverse's open data releases. Pre-1999 seasons are backfilled additively from Wikipedia and NFL.com's own official season pages — never from rights-restricted sources.
Amber = this player (normalized to own peak). Indigo = average QBs aging curve. Group peak age: 24. Source: StatVault KV-H era (1999+).
Percentiles compare each raw measurement against position peers, the full combine pool, and the same draft class where enough samples exist.
Major career thresholds crossed, derived from regular-season totals (1999+).
Passing
College stats are not imported for this profile yet.
StatVault has the verified college attribution (Oregon), but no parsed college box-score table is present in this profile artifact. The section stays here so every profile has a consistent college-stats landing point without fabricating unavailable rows.
Career teammates and draft class, derived from year-by-year rosters — every name is linked.
Justin inherited the Los Angeles Chargers QB room from Philip Rivers (2004–2019), and holds it as the most recent the corpus records.
The room is reconstructed from arrival order among durable members (≥4 seasons with the club) at the player’s position group — a lineage by arrival, not a week-by-week depth chart. Distinct from the league-wide positional GOAT torch.
Statistical + physical similarity across every player in the database, position-relevant (0–100%).
Last recorded season with LAC
Drafted by LAC — Round 1, Pick 6
StatVault's proprietary player intelligence, informed by full career data. How Knox works →
Era-normalized career quality — z-scored against 6-season peers. See all →
Career durability — games played vs. scheduled, across 7 seasons.
Pass Yds translated to the 2025 NFL — each season's standing among its own-era peers, projected onto 2025's scoring environment. Modern-era (1999+) coverage.
| Season | Actual Pass Yds | Pass Yds/G | → 2025 Pass Yds | → 2025 /G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4,336 | 289.1 | 4,469+133 | 262.9 |
| 2021 | 5,014 | 294.9 | 4,692-322 | 276 |
| 2022 | 4,739 | 278.8 | 4,522-217 | 266 |
| 2023 | 3,134 | 241.1 | 4,047+913 | 238.1 |
| 2024 | 3,870 | 227.6 | 3,858-12 | 226.9 |
| 2025 | 3,727 | 232.9 | 3,960+233 | 232.9 |
Data: nflverse:players, nflverse:player_stats, nflverse:player_stats_def, nflverse:snap_counts, nflverse:combine, nflverse:draft_picks · multi-source verified via the StatVault Oracle · updated 10/29/2026
Deshaun Watson
QB
86% match
2020 Draft ClassmatesFull class →
Pre-1999 players have bio + draft data but counting stats are not available from any freely-licensed source. Players with ★ Career Only see verified career aggregates from nflverse draft_picks.
Rushing
Receiving
Defense
Snap Counts (2012–present)
Proprietary StatVault Metrics
Composite score across availability, IR frequency, and injury severity. See all →
Calibrated Hall-of-Fame probability — fit against actual enshrinement. See all →
What carries the case
Monitor score 36 · components sum to the score (All-Pro ×12 · Pro Bowl ×3 · League Lead ×4 · ranks/era/longevity weighted).
Career Fingerprint
Statistical profile across 5 dimensions
Gave the Los Angeles Chargers an entire corpus-attributed career — 7 seasons (2020–2026), one crest. The rarest loyalty in the sport.