T.J. Watt is building a case for Canton — a 81% HOF probability suggests his career already clears the historical enshrinement bar in most models. His overall career value places Watt in the top 1% of all pass rushers in the StatVault encyclopedia.

OLBPIT#90ACT

T.J. Watt

8× Pro Bowl4× All-ProTop 1% all-time pass rushersFranchise Cornerstone👑 2× #1 Edge Rusher · 2019–2023 🌅 Early Bloomer · 2019

Height6'4"

Weight252 lb

BornOct 11, 1994

Age31

CollegeWisconsin See College Stats

ConferenceBig Ten

Rookie yr2017

Draft2017 · Rd 1, Pick 30 · PIT

All-Time Rank & Honors

career ranks, postseason ranks, awards, title context

Regular-season all-time ranks

24thSacks·115

Pro Bowls

All-Pro

Season honors and record seasons

Led NFL2023·Sacks19 Led NFL2021·Sacks22.5

Career Value · VORP

382 career value over replacement — #46 all-time of 4,666. 42.4/season above a replacement-level LB.

Career Profile

Led league 3×5 top-10

Draft OutcomeSteal ↑

Pick #30 (Rd 1) · PIT · 2017 · +42.1 vs expected KV-H

97actual

54.9 expected · Δ+42.1

💔+33.9 stolen VORP·0.81 szns lost

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Compare T.J. Watt vs Player Report data error

Career Value · VORP

VORP 382 · #46 · All-Time

Worth 382 points of value above a freely-available replacement linebacker — top 2% of all 4,666 ranked at the position. 9 of 9 seasons cleared the replacement bar, by +42.4 on average.See board →

Seasons above replacement

9 cleared

Beat replacement (adds to VORP) Below it — adds 0, never a debit

Replacement

the KC-H bar

→

Seasons over

cleared the bar

+42.4

Avg surplus

peak +52

9 seasons × ~42.4 surplus ≈ VORP 382

T.J. Watt

All-Time Rank & Honors

Archetype Intelligence

Career Value · VORP